Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 666 (#400) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 641 (#399) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 775 (#766) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.7 (#359) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -21.0 (#696) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.088 (#396) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.058 (#355) | AdjNet -24.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.054 (#355) | AdjNet -24.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.164 (#353) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 83.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.173 (#758) | AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.100 (#750) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.103 (#754) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 643 (#629) | RD 113 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Capital | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Kalamazoo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Muskingum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Asbury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Transylvania | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Manchester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Rose-Hulman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Kenyon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Ball St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Franklin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Berea | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hanover | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Bluffton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Anderson (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Transylvania | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Franklin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Anderson (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Hanover | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Bluffton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Berea | L | 49 - 77 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Manchester | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2026-02-17 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 49 - 66 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.