🐻⬇️🏀

Earlham

Season: 2026 2017 2013
Also known as: Earlham
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 939 (#370) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 988 (#349) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -11.6 (#477) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.013 (#635) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.3 More → 0.195 (#557) AdjNet -12.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.0 More → 0.194 (#558) AdjNet -12.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 85.2 More → 0.272 (#572) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 85.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 77.4 More → 0.410 (#451) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 77.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.290 (#481) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.313 (#462) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 867 (#396) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-19 @ UIndy L 65 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bud Davis - 1 21.9 14.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 4.0 -4 -0.3 -5.0 36.4 42.9 75.0 -0.62 54.9 50.0
Patrick Hardimon - 1 16.4 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Jack Sullivan - 1 16.3 10.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 49 2.1 9.0 100.0 100.0 50.0 -1.16 128.9 150.0
Donovan Pruitt - 1 20.1 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 45.5 38.9
Noah Gathings - 1 11.4 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Hamweemba Mukando - 1 12.3 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 45.0 50.0
Chase Newton - 1 16.3 4.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 26 2.9 183.0 33.3 0 100.0 0.08 51.5 33.3
Connor Smith - 1 12.7 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -9 -0.8 -16.1 33.3 33.3 0 -0.11 50.0 50.0
Travis Makabu - 1 18.1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
James Clark - 1 3.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 67 3.2 13.2 0 0 50.0 1.39 56.8 0
Dane Copeland - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Manntavius Goodman - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jake Kolbay - 1 13.8 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Marcos Paul - 1 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tommy Reddick - 1 20.1 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Grady Smitley - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG