Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1060 (#117) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1115 (#79) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1025 (#217) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +21.6 (#78) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#79) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#51) | NetEff +42.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.993 (#64) | AdjNet +42.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.994 (#64) | AdjNet +41.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.906 (#68) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 46.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.728 (#66) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 56.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.896 (#33) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.877 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1186 (#54) | RD 277 | GP 2 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-10 | vs | Lees-McRae | W | 77 - 42 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Coker | W | 65 - 53 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Folley | - | 1 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 58.1 | 54.2 |
| Nevaeh Brown | - | 2 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 38 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 45.8 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.35 | 52.6 | 50.0 |
| Journee McDaniel | - | 2 | 21.5 | 13.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 15.5 | - | - | - | 58.8 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 67.7 | 61.8 |
| Brecken Snotherly | - | 2 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 25.0 | 77.8 | 0.04 | 56.4 | 45.8 |
| Meghan Downing | - | 2 | 21.5 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Courtney Moore | - | 2 | 23.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 33.3 | 83.3 | - | 40.3 | 27.3 |
| Jakhyia Davis | - | 2 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 10 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Sarah Thompson | - | 2 | 13.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Jaileyah Cotton | - | 2 | 18.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.0 | 18.2 |
| Lyndie Ramsey | - | 2 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -66 | -11.0 | -12.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.66 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Breanne Beatty | - | 2 | 18.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Samiah Puckett | - | 2 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Jayla Ruffus-Milner | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -29 | -5.8 | -8.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Meleah Kirtner | - | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG