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ETSU

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2021 2020 2018 2016
Also known as: ETSU
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1115 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1025 (#217) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +21.6 (#78) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#79) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +42.0 More → 0.999 (#51) NetEff +42.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +42.2 More → 0.993 (#64) AdjNet +42.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +41.7 More → 0.994 (#64) AdjNet +41.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 46.8 More → 0.906 (#68) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 46.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 56.9 More → 0.728 (#66) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 56.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.896 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.877 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs Claflin W 69 - 31
2026-01-02 vs King (TN) W 72 - 47

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaidyn Harper - 1 18.6 14.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 -69 -3.6 -19.3 55.6 75.0 100.0 -1.97 74.2 72.2
Emmah McAmis - 2 20.3 9.5 5.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 6.0 8.0 - - - 41.7 42.9 100.0 - 64.9 54.2
Lucy Hood - 2 19.0 9.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 8.0 4.5 - - - 43.8 41.7 0 - 59.4 59.4
Anala Nelson - 2 19.7 9.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 0.0 2.5 6.0 10.0 46 2.2 9.3 50.0 50.0 71.4 3.14 59.7 54.2
Paige Lyons - 2 14.2 7.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 50.0 - 54.5 54.2
SaBreya Monsanto - 2 15.7 7.0 3.0 1.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 4.5 11.5 - - - 55.6 0 57.1 - 57.9 55.6
Lucia France - 2 14.6 6.5 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 3.5 7.0 - - - 85.7 0 50.0 - 82.5 85.7
Daniela López - 1 22.1 5.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 2.0 - - - 18.2 11.1 0 - 22.7 22.7
Carmen Richardson - 2 19.9 4.5 5.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 25.0 20.0 100.0 - 34.9 29.2
Gemma Grüttner Bacoul - 2 10.8 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.0 0.5 - - - 30.0 0.0 0.0 - 27.6 30.0
Kennedy Younkin - 2 18.6 2.5 7.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 6.0 - - - 22.2 0 50.0 - 25.3 22.2
Yanessa Boyd - 2 15.6 2.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 4.5 1.5 - - - 22.2 0.0 0 - 22.2 22.2
Maya McCorkle - 2 4.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Meghan Downing - 1 13.6 0.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG