🐻⬇️🏀

Duquesne

Season: 2026 2016
Also known as: Duquesne
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1061 (#120) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1072 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1026 (#209) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +25.4 (#45) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#95) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +47.8 More → 0.997 (#65) NetEff +47.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.4 More → 0.968 (#124) AdjNet +29.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.4 More → 0.972 (#125) AdjNet +29.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 90.9 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.918 (#64) AdjO 90.9 | AdjD 64.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.711 (#78) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.876 (#48) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.846 (#53) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1089 (#121) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Slippery Rock - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 vs West Liberty - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.