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Duquesne Dukes

Also known as: Duquesne Dukes
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

56.0
PPG
79.0
Opp
-23.0
Margin
39.8%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
28.5
RPG
8.0
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.4
Adj PPG
71.9
Adj Opp PPG
#234
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 847 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 882 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 852 (#334) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -4.4 (#230) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -6.5 (#267) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.216 (#301) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.9 More โ†’ 0.338 (#220) AdjNet -5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.8 More โ†’ 0.338 (#220) AdjNet -5.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 71.9 More โ†’ 0.399 (#234) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 72.8 More โ†’ 0.333 (#320) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.316 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.304 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 30 More โ†’ 850 (#273) RD 153 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Albany Great Danes L 66 - 69
2012-11-11 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 55 - 61
2012-11-19 vs James Madison Dukes W 90 - 88
2012-11-20 vs North Dakota State Bison L 43 - 57
2012-11-21 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 84 - 74
2012-11-28 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers W 73 - 72
2012-12-01 vs Maine Black Bears W 87 - 73
2012-12-05 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 45 - 66
2012-12-08 vs New Orleans Privateers W 88 - 70
2012-12-11 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 60 - 56
2012-12-15 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 69 - 91
2012-12-19 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 71 - 66
2012-12-22 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 79 - 91
2012-12-29 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 74 - 84
2013-01-09 @ Fordham Rams L 75 - 82
2013-01-12 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 66 - 74
2013-01-17 @ UMass Minutemen L 66 - 79
2013-01-19 vs VCU Rams L 63 - 90
2013-01-23 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 64 - 73
2013-01-26 @ Dayton Flyers L 56 - 72
2013-02-02 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 60 - 68
2013-02-06 vs George Washington Colonials L 57 - 79
2013-02-09 vs Xavier Musketeers L 65 - 73
2013-02-14 @ Temple Owls W 84 - 83
2013-02-16 vs Rhode Island Rams L 62 - 67
2013-02-19 @ Butler Bulldogs L 49 - 68
2013-02-23 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 71 - 78
2013-03-02 @ La Salle Explorers L 64 - 97
2013-03-06 vs Charlotte 49ers L 87 - 89
2013-03-09 @ Richmond Spiders L 55 - 79

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Derrick Colter Derrick Colter G 30 32.2 13.5 2.8 5.2 0.8 0.2 3.6 2.8 16.1 -118 20 -5.9 -8.1 44.0 41.9 47.6 0.38 217.7 54.8
Sean Johnson Sean Johnson G 30 25.5 11.5 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 1.8 2.4 13.1 -141 20 -7.0 -11.9 38.4 37.5 75.0 -2.8 198.1 44.5
Quevyn Winters Quevyn Winters G 30 22.0 9.6 3.9 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.0 1.6 11.4 -83 20 -4.2 -8.0 44.9 32.3 50.0 1.29 282.7 55.1
Javeon Jones Javeon Jones G 30 26.0 7.7 4.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.9 1.5 10.8 -134 20 -6.7 -11.2 39.1 31.6 70.0 -1.19 210.8 45.7
J. Jones J. Jones G 29 23.9 7.3 3.6 1.2 1.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 10.3 -112 19 -5.9 -11.0 41.3 23.5 57.1 -1.66 217.0 45.7
Andre Marhold Andre Marhold F-C 29 22.8 6.0 5.6 0.6 0.2 1.7 1.4 0.9 11.7 -78 20 -3.9 -7.3 48.0 0 50.0 -0.8 303.3 48.0
Kadeem Pantophlet Kadeem Pantophlet F 30 21.0 5.0 4.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.0 8.5 -79 20 -4.0 -8.5 38.7 40.9 50.0 0.17 222.9 53.2
Marvin Binney Marvin Binney G 29 12.7 3.1 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.4 4.2 -46 19 -2.4 -7.6 33.3 42.9 100.0 -1.24 353.3 45.8
Martins Abele Martins Abele C 24 9.3 3.0 3.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.2 5.7 -21 15 -1.4 -6.9 60.0 0 0.0 -0.53 652.6 60.0
P.J. Torres P.J. Torres - 12 7.3 2.8 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.3 4.1 - - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 338.1 125.0
Mamadou Datt Mamadou Datt F 13 9.3 1.3 1.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 3.0 -68 9 -7.6 -39.6 42.9 0 0 -5.68 121.4 42.9
Derrick Martin Derrick Martin - 11 6.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 2.5 - - - - 33.3 0 0 - 100.0 33.3
Sam Bott Sam Bott G-F 7 3.0 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.97 61.5 50.0
Nick Foschia Nick Foschia F 5 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
Christian Johnston Christian Johnston G 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG