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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

Model Outputs

2000-2001
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1672 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1480 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +117 elo More โ†’ 1320 (#1) HCA +117 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +32.2 (#1) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +32.7 (#1) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.948 (#1) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +40.5 More โ†’ 0.991 (#1) AdjNet +40.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +41.0 More โ†’ 0.991 (#1) AdjNet +41.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 62.9 More โ†’ 0.935 (#1) AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 62.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.4 | AdjD 64.0 More โ†’ 0.901 (#1) AdjO 88.4 | AdjD 64.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.965 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.962 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 39 More โ†’ 1484 (#1) RD 85 | GP 39

2001 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2000-11-14 vs Princeton W 87 - 50
2000-11-17 vs Villanova W 98 - 85
2000-11-22 N Texas W 95 - 69
2000-11-24 N Temple W 63 - 61
2000-11-25 vs Army W 91 - 48
2000-11-28 N Illinois W 78 - 77
2000-12-02 @ Temple W 93 - 68
2000-12-05 vs Davidson W 102 - 60
2000-12-09 vs Michigan W 104 - 61
2000-12-19 N Portland W 97 - 64
2000-12-21 N Stanford L 83 - 84
2000-12-30 vs North Carolina A&T W 108 - 73
2001-01-04 @ Florida State W 99 - 72
2001-01-07 vs Clemson W 115 - 74
2001-01-10 @ NC State W 84 - 78
2001-01-13 vs Virginia W 103 - 61
2001-01-16 vs Boston College W 97 - 75
2001-01-20 @ Georgia Tech W 98 - 77
2001-01-24 vs Wake Forest W 85 - 62
2001-01-27 @ Maryland W 98 - 96
2001-02-01 vs North Carolina L 83 - 85
2001-02-04 vs Florida State W 100 - 58
2001-02-07 @ Clemson W 81 - 64
2001-02-11 vs NC State W 101 - 75
2001-02-14 @ Virginia L 89 - 91
2001-02-18 @ St. John's (NY) W 91 - 59
2001-02-21 vs Georgia Tech W 98 - 54
2001-02-24 @ Wake Forest W 82 - 80
2001-02-27 vs Maryland L 80 - 91
2001-03-04 @ North Carolina W 95 - 81
2001-03-09 N NC State W 76 - 61
2001-03-10 N Maryland W 84 - 82
2001-03-11 N North Carolina W 79 - 53
2001-03-15 N Monmouth W 95 - 52
2001-03-17 N Missouri W 94 - 81
2001-03-22 N UCLA W 76 - 63
2001-03-24 N Southern California W 79 - 69
2001-03-31 N Maryland W 95 - 84
2001-04-02 N Arizona W 82 - 72

2001 Roster

No roster data available for this season.