Duke
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1575 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1375 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1211 (#4) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +25.0 (#1) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +24.1 (#3) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.918 (#6) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.979 (#4) | AdjNet +33.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.980 (#4) | AdjNet +33.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.889 (#2) | AdjO 89.5 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.823 (#4) | AdjO 85.3 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.923 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.915 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1363 (#5) | RD 98 | GP 34 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-11 | N | Stanford | L | 79 - 80 |
| 1999-11-12 | N | Connecticut | L | 66 - 71 |
| 1999-11-20 | vs | Army | W | 100 - 42 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Columbia | W | 99 - 52 |
| 1999-11-27 | N | Southern California | W | 81 - 68 |
| 1999-11-30 | N | Illinois | W | 72 - 69 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | DePaul | W | 84 - 83 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Michigan | W | 104 - 97 |
| 1999-12-19 | vs | North Carolina A&T | W | 101 - 60 |
| 1999-12-21 | vs | Davidson | W | 109 - 65 |
| 2000-01-02 | vs | William & Mary | W | 96 - 55 |
| 2000-01-05 | @ | Virginia | W | 109 - 100 |
| 2000-01-09 | @ | Maryland | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2000-01-12 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 82 - 57 |
| 2000-01-16 | @ | Florida State | W | 85 - 54 |
| 2000-01-19 | vs | NC State | W | 92 - 88 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Wake Forest | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Clemson | W | 93 - 59 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | North Carolina | W | 90 - 86 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Virginia | W | 106 - 86 |
| 2000-02-09 | vs | Maryland | L | 87 - 98 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Georgia Tech | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2000-02-16 | vs | Florida State | W | 101 - 68 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | NC State | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2000-02-22 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 96 - 78 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | St. John's (NY) | L | 82 - 83 |
| 2000-03-01 | @ | Clemson | W | 92 - 78 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | North Carolina | W | 90 - 76 |
| 2000-03-09 | N | Clemson | W | 94 - 63 |
| 2000-03-11 | N | Wake Forest | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2000-03-12 | N | Maryland | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2000-03-17 | N | Lamar | W | 82 - 55 |
| 2000-03-19 | N | Kansas | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2000-03-24 | N | Florida | L | 78 - 87 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.