Duke
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1462 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1322 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1121 (#33) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +24.9 (#4) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.9 (#5) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.903 (#5) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.974 (#5) | AdjNet +31.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.975 (#5) | AdjNet +31.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.890 (#4) | AdjO 86.6 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.815 (#5) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.899 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.887 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1297 (#15) | RD 107 | GP 32 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-01 | vs | Canisius | W | 110 - 62 |
| 1992-12-05 | vs | Michigan | W | 79 - 68 |
| 1992-12-07 | vs | Northeastern | W | 103 - 72 |
| 1992-12-12 | N | Rutgers | W | 88 - 79 |
| 1992-12-21 | N | DePaul | W | 89 - 73 |
| 1992-12-22 | N | Louisiana State | W | 96 - 67 |
| 1992-12-23 | N | Brigham Young | W | 89 - 66 |
| 1992-12-30 | vs | Boston University | W | 106 - 62 |
| 1993-01-04 | vs | Oklahoma | W | 88 - 84 |
| 1993-01-06 | vs | Clemson | W | 110 - 67 |
| 1993-01-10 | @ | Georgia Tech | L | 79 - 80 |
| 1993-01-13 | @ | Wake Forest | W | 86 - 59 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | Iowa | W | 65 - 56 |
| 1993-01-17 | vs | Virginia | L | 69 - 77 |
| 1993-01-21 | vs | NC State | W | 92 - 56 |
| 1993-01-24 | @ | Florida State | L | 88 - 89 |
| 1993-01-26 | vs | San Francisco | W | 117 - 73 |
| 1993-01-30 | @ | Maryland | W | 78 - 62 |
| 1993-02-03 | vs | North Carolina | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1993-02-06 | @ | Notre Dame | W | 67 - 50 |
| 1993-02-08 | @ | Clemson | W | 93 - 84 |
| 1993-02-10 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1993-02-13 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 86 - 98 |
| 1993-02-18 | @ | Virginia | L | 55 - 58 |
| 1993-02-21 | @ | NC State | W | 91 - 82 |
| 1993-02-24 | vs | Florida State | W | 98 - 75 |
| 1993-02-28 | vs | UCLA | W | 78 - 67 |
| 1993-03-03 | vs | Maryland | W | 95 - 79 |
| 1993-03-07 | @ | North Carolina | L | 69 - 83 |
| 1993-03-12 | N | Georgia Tech | L | 66 - 69 |
| 1993-03-18 | N | Southern Illinois | W | 105 - 70 |
| 1993-03-20 | N | California | L | 77 - 82 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.