Duke
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1661 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1541 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1359 (#1) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +25.2 (#2) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +27.2 (#2) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.888 (#9) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.974 (#3) | AdjNet +31.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.972 (#4) | AdjNet +30.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.888 (#3) | AdjO 89.0 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.850 (#3) | AdjO 85.7 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.946 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.943 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1532 (#1) | RD 89 | GP 36 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-25 | vs | East Carolina | W | 103 - 75 |
| 1991-11-30 | vs | Harvard | W | 118 - 65 |
| 1991-12-05 | N | St. John's (NY) | W | 91 - 81 |
| 1991-12-07 | @ | Canisius | W | 96 - 60 |
| 1991-12-14 | @ | Michigan | W | 88 - 85 |
| 1991-12-30 | vs | William & Mary | W | 97 - 91 |
| 1992-01-02 | @ | Virginia | W | 68 - 62 |
| 1992-01-06 | vs | Florida State | W | 86 - 70 |
| 1992-01-08 | @ | Maryland | W | 83 - 66 |
| 1992-01-11 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 97 - 84 |
| 1992-01-15 | vs | NC State | W | 110 - 75 |
| 1992-01-18 | vs | Charlotte | W | 104 - 82 |
| 1992-01-21 | @ | Boston University | W | 95 - 85 |
| 1992-01-25 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 84 - 68 |
| 1992-01-27 | vs | Clemson | W | 112 - 73 |
| 1992-01-30 | @ | Florida State | W | 75 - 62 |
| 1992-02-01 | vs | Notre Dame | W | 100 - 71 |
| 1992-02-05 | @ | North Carolina | L | 73 - 75 |
| 1992-02-08 | @ | Louisiana State | W | 77 - 67 |
| 1992-02-12 | @ | Georgia Tech | W | 71 - 62 |
| 1992-02-16 | @ | NC State | W | 71 - 63 |
| 1992-02-20 | vs | Maryland | W | 91 - 89 |
| 1992-02-23 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 68 - 72 |
| 1992-02-26 | vs | Virginia | W | 76 - 67 |
| 1992-03-01 | @ | UCLA | W | 75 - 65 |
| 1992-03-04 | @ | Clemson | W | 98 - 97 |
| 1992-03-08 | vs | North Carolina | W | 89 - 77 |
| 1992-03-13 | N | Maryland | W | 94 - 87 |
| 1992-03-14 | N | Georgia Tech | W | 89 - 76 |
| 1992-03-15 | N | North Carolina | W | 94 - 74 |
| 1992-03-19 | N | Campbell | W | 82 - 56 |
| 1992-03-21 | N | Iowa | W | 75 - 62 |
| 1992-03-26 | N | Seton Hall | W | 81 - 69 |
| 1992-03-28 | N | Kentucky | W | 104 - 103 |
| 1992-04-04 | N | Indiana | W | 81 - 78 |
| 1992-04-06 | N | Michigan | W | 71 - 51 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.