Duke
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1547 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1404 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1295 (#2) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +25.0 (#4) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +27.9 (#2) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.885 (#9) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.971 (#5) | AdjNet +30.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.972 (#5) | AdjNet +30.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.890 (#4) | AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.869 (#4) | AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.939 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.936 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1424 (#2) | RD 82 | GP 39 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-14 | vs | Marquette | W | 87 - 74 |
| 1990-11-16 | vs | Boston College | W | 100 - 76 |
| 1990-11-21 | N | Arkansas | L | 88 - 98 |
| 1990-11-23 | N | Notre Dame | W | 85 - 77 |
| 1990-11-26 | vs | East Carolina | W | 125 - 82 |
| 1990-12-01 | vs | Charlotte | W | 111 - 94 |
| 1990-12-05 | @ | Georgetown | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1990-12-08 | vs | Michigan | W | 75 - 68 |
| 1990-12-19 | @ | Harvard | W | 103 - 61 |
| 1990-12-22 | @ | Oklahoma | W | 90 - 85 |
| 1990-12-29 | vs | Lehigh | W | 97 - 67 |
| 1991-01-02 | vs | Boston University | W | 109 - 55 |
| 1991-01-05 | @ | Virginia | L | 64 - 81 |
| 1991-01-09 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 98 - 57 |
| 1991-01-12 | @ | Maryland | W | 94 - 78 |
| 1991-01-14 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 89 - 67 |
| 1991-01-16 | @ | The Citadel | W | 83 - 50 |
| 1991-01-19 | vs | North Carolina | W | 74 - 60 |
| 1991-01-23 | @ | NC State | L | 89 - 95 |
| 1991-01-26 | @ | Clemson | W | 99 - 70 |
| 1991-01-30 | @ | Georgia Tech | W | 77 - 75 |
| 1991-02-02 | @ | Notre Dame | W | 90 - 77 |
| 1991-02-07 | vs | Virginia | W | 86 - 74 |
| 1991-02-09 | vs | Maryland | W | 101 - 81 |
| 1991-02-10 | vs | Louisiana State | W | 88 - 70 |
| 1991-02-13 | vs | Davidson | W | 74 - 39 |
| 1991-02-16 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 77 - 86 |
| 1991-02-20 | vs | NC State | W | 72 - 65 |
| 1991-02-24 | @ | Arizona | L | 96 - 103 |
| 1991-02-27 | vs | Clemson | W | 79 - 62 |
| 1991-03-03 | @ | North Carolina | W | 83 - 77 |
| 1991-03-09 | N | NC State | W | 93 - 72 |
| 1991-03-10 | N | North Carolina | L | 74 - 96 |
| 1991-03-14 | N | Louisiana–Monroe | W | 102 - 73 |
| 1991-03-16 | N | Iowa | W | 85 - 70 |
| 1991-03-22 | N | Connecticut | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1991-03-24 | N | St. John's (NY) | W | 78 - 61 |
| 1991-03-30 | N | Nevada–Las Vegas | W | 79 - 77 |
| 1991-04-01 | N | Kansas | W | 72 - 65 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.