Duke
Model Outputs
1989-1990
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1388 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1349 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1209 (#6) | HCA +128 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +21.2 (#4) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.6 (#10) | HCA +4.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.851 (#14) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.954 (#6) | AdjNet +26.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.956 (#6) | AdjNet +26.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.856 (#4) | AdjO 89.9 | AdjD 70.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.782 (#10) | AdjO 85.3 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.896 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.887 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1352 (#7) | RD 82 | GP 38 |
1990 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989-11-25 | vs | Harvard | W | 130 - 54 |
| 1989-11-29 | vs | Canisius | W | 102 - 66 |
| 1989-12-02 | @ | Northwestern | W | 103 - 77 |
| 1989-12-06 | N | Syracuse | L | 76 - 78 |
| 1989-12-09 | @ | Michigan | L | 108 - 113 |
| 1989-12-21 | @ | Davidson | W | 89 - 44 |
| 1989-12-23 | vs | Washington | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1989-12-28 | N | Drake | W | 101 - 77 |
| 1989-12-29 | N | Cincinnati | W | 95 - 83 |
| 1989-12-30 | @ | Hawaii | W | 87 - 75 |
| 1990-01-03 | vs | The Citadel | W | 108 - 69 |
| 1990-01-06 | vs | Virginia | W | 76 - 68 |
| 1990-01-11 | @ | Georgia Tech | W | 96 - 91 |
| 1990-01-13 | vs | Maryland | W | 91 - 80 |
| 1990-01-17 | @ | North Carolina | L | 60 - 79 |
| 1990-01-20 | @ | Wake Forest | W | 97 - 69 |
| 1990-01-22 | @ | William & Mary | W | 109 - 76 |
| 1990-01-24 | vs | NC State | W | 85 - 82 |
| 1990-01-28 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 88 - 86 |
| 1990-01-31 | vs | Clemson | W | 94 - 80 |
| 1990-02-04 | vs | Notre Dame | W | 88 - 76 |
| 1990-02-08 | @ | Virginia | L | 69 - 72 |
| 1990-02-10 | @ | Maryland | W | 114 - 111 |
| 1990-02-12 | N | Stetson | W | 102 - 67 |
| 1990-02-14 | vs | East Carolina | W | 84 - 51 |
| 1990-02-18 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 71 - 56 |
| 1990-02-21 | @ | NC State | L | 71 - 76 |
| 1990-02-25 | vs | Arizona | W | 78 - 76 |
| 1990-02-28 | @ | Clemson | L | 93 - 97 |
| 1990-03-04 | vs | North Carolina | L | 75 - 87 |
| 1990-03-09 | N | Maryland | W | 104 - 84 |
| 1990-03-10 | N | Georgia Tech | L | 72 - 83 |
| 1990-03-16 | N | Richmond | W | 81 - 46 |
| 1990-03-18 | N | St. John's (NY) | W | 76 - 72 |
| 1990-03-22 | N | UCLA | W | 90 - 81 |
| 1990-03-24 | N | Connecticut | W | 79 - 78 |
| 1990-03-31 | N | Arkansas | W | 97 - 83 |
| 1990-04-02 | N | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 73 - 103 |
1990 Roster
No roster data available for this season.