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Dubuque Spartans

Also known as: Dubuque Spartans
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1096 (#111) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1126 (#98) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1087 (#106) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.9 (#86) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +1.6 (#325) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.744 (#323) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.711 (#271) AdjNet +7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.5 More → 0.706 (#270) AdjNet +7.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.627 (#269) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6 More → 0.633 (#172) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.630 (#287) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.629 (#285) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 21 More → 1151 (#95) RD 96 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ DePauw W 86 - 85
2025-11-12 vs Edgewood W 86 - 62
2025-11-19 @ Cornell College W 108 - 63
2025-11-22 @ Augustana (IL) W 88 - 82
2025-11-25 vs Monmouth (IL) W 88 - 77
2025-12-03 vs Loras L 69 - 84
2025-12-06 @ Wis.-Platteville L 73 - 81
2025-12-13 @ Central (IA) W 71 - 49
2025-12-20 @ Benedictine (IL) W 75 - 61
2025-12-28 @ Cortland W 66 - 63
2025-12-29 @ Transylvania L 45 - 61
2026-01-03 vs Buena Vista L 69 - 71
2026-01-07 vs Wartburg W 75 - 63
2026-01-10 @ Neb. Wesleyan W 78 - 74
2026-01-14 @ Coe L 74 - 85
2026-01-17 vs Simpson L 73 - 88
2026-01-21 @ Luther W 71 - 47
2026-01-28 @ Loras W 90 - 74
2026-01-31 @ Buena Vista W 84 - 71
2026-02-04 @ Wartburg W 90 - 81
2026-02-07 vs Central (IA) L 73 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Grady Thompson - 18 31.3 19.1 6.1 1.6 1.3 0.2 1.6 14.1 12.7 8 0.4 1.9 42.9 30.9 82.2 1.53 57.1 50.4
Jacob Williams - 21 30.5 16.9 6.6 1.0 0.7 1.3 1.7 12.2 12.6 -2 -0.2 -3.7 49.4 29.8 65.6 0.34 56.3 52.1
Jalen Scott - 17 25.4 8.4 3.9 5.3 2.1 0.2 2.7 6.0 11.2 -45 -2.2 -12.3 44.1 31.9 77.6 2.78 57.9 51.5
Ethan Henderson - 20 16.6 7.7 3.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.2 5.8 5.2 0 0.0 0.0 46.2 34.6 67.9 4.19 54.5 50.0
Joey Coppola IV - 21 21.4 7.4 2.2 1.3 1.4 0.4 1.1 5.9 5.8 -17 -0.8 -6.7 41.1 31.1 54.2 -3.55 53.7 52.4
Dylan Hibicke - 21 25.3 6.3 4.7 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.3 6.1 6.1 32 1.5 9.3 40.3 26.4 62.5 3.19 48.9 47.7
Josh Senica - 21 16.2 5.0 4.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 3.7 6.1 3 0.1 1.2 51.9 12.5 69.7 0.58 56.8 52.6
Andrew Apiagyei - 19 10.7 4.5 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.7 3.5 2.9 -21 -1.2 -41.7 52.2 38.7 21.4 -0.34 58.1 61.2
Nick Kennedy - 20 18.5 3.7 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.7 4.2 2.8 56 2.8 25.6 31.3 13.3 66.7 1.87 39.5 34.9
Jayden Hunt - 6 6.3 3.2 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 2.7 9 1.5 71.8 35.7 100.0 70.0 0.57 51.6 42.9
Logan Sluder - 12 8.9 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.4 2.5 1.3 8 0.7 10.6 30.0 26.7 100.0 0.14 38.9 36.7
Quincy Underwood - 11 5.1 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.2 -2 -0.2 -20.4 35.7 0.0 100.0 0.21 44.4 35.7
Wil Olson - 6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Ian Mindrup - 16 4.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.6 14 1.0 20.6 40.0 0.0 50.0 0.17 40.9 40.0
Spencer Roeder - 9 2.3 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.9 -20 -3.3 -480.0 42.9 0.0 0 0.02 42.9 42.9
Christian Jaimes - 9 3.5 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Daxter Lee - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -0.5 -11.3 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
Jai Thomas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 1.9 6.8 0 0 0 1.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG