Dubuque Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1087 (#106) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#86) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#325) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.711 (#271) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.706 (#270) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#269) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#172) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.629 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1151 (#95) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | DePauw | W | 86 - 85 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Edgewood | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Cornell College | W | 108 - 63 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 88 - 82 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 88 - 77 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Loras | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 71 - 49 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Cortland | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Transylvania | L | 45 - 61 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Buena Vista | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Wartburg | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Coe | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Simpson | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Luther | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Loras | W | 90 - 74 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wartburg | W | 90 - 81 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 73 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grady Thompson | - | 18 | 31.3 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 14.1 | 12.7 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 42.9 | 30.9 | 82.2 | 1.53 | 57.1 | 50.4 |
| Jacob Williams | - | 21 | 30.5 | 16.9 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 12.2 | 12.6 | -2 | -0.2 | -3.7 | 49.4 | 29.8 | 65.6 | 0.34 | 56.3 | 52.1 |
| Jalen Scott | - | 17 | 25.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 11.2 | -45 | -2.2 | -12.3 | 44.1 | 31.9 | 77.6 | 2.78 | 57.9 | 51.5 |
| Ethan Henderson | - | 20 | 16.6 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.2 | 34.6 | 67.9 | 4.19 | 54.5 | 50.0 |
| Joey Coppola IV | - | 21 | 21.4 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 5.8 | -17 | -0.8 | -6.7 | 41.1 | 31.1 | 54.2 | -3.55 | 53.7 | 52.4 |
| Dylan Hibicke | - | 21 | 25.3 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 32 | 1.5 | 9.3 | 40.3 | 26.4 | 62.5 | 3.19 | 48.9 | 47.7 |
| Josh Senica | - | 21 | 16.2 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 6.1 | 3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 51.9 | 12.5 | 69.7 | 0.58 | 56.8 | 52.6 |
| Andrew Apiagyei | - | 19 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 2.9 | -21 | -1.2 | -41.7 | 52.2 | 38.7 | 21.4 | -0.34 | 58.1 | 61.2 |
| Nick Kennedy | - | 20 | 18.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 56 | 2.8 | 25.6 | 31.3 | 13.3 | 66.7 | 1.87 | 39.5 | 34.9 |
| Jayden Hunt | - | 6 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 9 | 1.5 | 71.8 | 35.7 | 100.0 | 70.0 | 0.57 | 51.6 | 42.9 |
| Logan Sluder | - | 12 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 8 | 0.7 | 10.6 | 30.0 | 26.7 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 38.9 | 36.7 |
| Quincy Underwood | - | 11 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | -2 | -0.2 | -20.4 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Wil Olson | - | 6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Ian Mindrup | - | 16 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 14 | 1.0 | 20.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 40.9 | 40.0 |
| Spencer Roeder | - | 9 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -20 | -3.3 | -480.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Christian Jaimes | - | 9 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Daxter Lee | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Jai Thomas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.15 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG