Dubuque Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1087 (#106) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#86) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#325) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.711 (#271) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.706 (#270) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#269) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#172) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.629 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1148 (#108) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | UNI | L | 54 - 96 |
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Aurora | W | 88 - 76 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Edgewood | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Augustana (IL) | L | 48 - 67 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | W | 87 - 77 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Olivet | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Rockford | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Luther | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Simpson | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Blackburn | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Gustavus Adolphus | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Wartburg | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Coe | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Loras | W | 100 - 79 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Simpson | W | 95 - 71 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Luther | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Wartburg | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Coe | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Loras | W | 90 - 86 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 71 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin McCants | - | 26 | 32.3 | 19.2 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 12.8 | 16.3 | 26 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 53.8 | 32.6 | 65.5 | 1.99 | 61.1 | 58.1 |
| Mason Wichman | - | 1 | 29.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 24 | 6.0 | 69.5 | 57.1 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.35 | 60.7 | 60.7 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 1 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | -74 | -4.9 | -26.9 | 45.5 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.11 | 55.0 | 45.5 |
| Grady Thompson | - | 26 | 25.3 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 10.4 | 7.5 | 79 | 4.6 | 8.1 | 38.9 | 30.5 | 79.6 | 1.63 | 52.5 | 46.1 |
| Jacob Williams | - | 26 | 25.5 | 11.8 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 38 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 48.1 | 23.4 | 72.0 | 1.11 | 55.9 | 51.3 |
| Conner Schipper | - | 1 | 36.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | -4 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.37 | 56.4 | 43.8 |
| Haidyn Garrison | - | 1 | 36.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | -22 | -7.3 | -19.0 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 56.4 | 43.8 |
| Evan Honnen | - | 1 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -54 | -6.0 | -34.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Nathan Richardson | - | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | -86 | -4.5 | -19.7 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.38 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Jalen Scott | - | 26 | 24.8 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 9.1 | 77 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 45.3 | 29.5 | 82.1 | 2.5 | 57.3 | 51.4 |
| Sunday John | - | 23 | 24.4 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 5.2 | -38 | -2.9 | -5.2 | 38.3 | 31.6 | 70.8 | 0.19 | 50.6 | 46.3 |
| Aden Hathaway | - | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -34 | -4.9 | -16.6 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 32.2 | 25.0 |
| Keegan Zimmerman | - | 26 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 31 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 39.1 | 30.5 | 75.0 | 0.77 | 49.2 | 47.0 |
| Dylan Hibicke | - | 26 | 14.5 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 63 | 2.6 | 14.3 | 39.6 | 32.3 | 81.8 | 0.75 | 52.7 | 50.5 |
| Brayden Wine | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -4 | -0.8 | -19.6 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.67 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Nick Kennedy | - | 25 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 40.7 | 38.9 | 57.1 | 0.44 | 53.7 | 52.5 |
| Nolan Finkbeiner | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -73 | -10.4 | -44.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sam Howard | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Garrett Baumhover | - | 26 | 12.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | -6 | -0.8 | -2.7 | 35.6 | 41.7 | 80.0 | 0.09 | 48.7 | 46.7 |
| Joey Coppola IV | - | 26 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 19 | 1.2 | 16.4 | 29.5 | 13.3 | 85.7 | 0.11 | 38.2 | 34.1 |
| Josh Senica | - | 25 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | -10 | -3.3 | -32.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.53 | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Jerrod Jessie Jr. | - | 26 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 16 | 3.2 | 35.7 | 15.4 | 12.5 | 0 | -0.37 | 19.2 | 19.2 |
| Preston Mast | - | 8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Myles Leavy | - | 26 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.0 | 6 | 3.0 | 46.3 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 100.0 | -0.81 | 32.2 | 25.0 |
| Cael Amos | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Eli Rogers | - | 19 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Zach Bauer | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Ian Mindrup | - | 26 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Luke Morton | - | 23 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Carter Ahnquist | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Dale | - | 10 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Wyatt Kocurek | - | 9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Daxter Lee | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Underwood | - | 25 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tucker Blemaster | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -423.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -64 | -3.8 | -22.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Deutsch | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Griffith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -4.0 | -1129.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Damani Hicks | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -423.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Watkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -4.0 | -1129.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Walton | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -7.0 | -37.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG