Dubuque Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1087 (#106) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#86) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#325) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.711 (#271) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.706 (#270) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#269) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#172) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1151 (#107) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Blackburn | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2023-11-14 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 77 - 60 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Aurora | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2023-11-29 | @ | Luther | W | 63 - 43 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Simpson | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2023-12-21 | @ | Whitworth | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2023-12-22 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2023-12-29 | vs | Wis.-Superior | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | St. Norbert | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Wartburg | W | 81 - 64 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Coe | L | 59 - 63 |
| 2024-01-14 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Loras | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Simpson | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 43 - 59 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Edgewood | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Luther | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 99 - 73 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Wartburg | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 96 - 64 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Coe | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Loras | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2024-02-20 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2024-03-01 | vs | Illinois Col. | L | 57 - 59 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Gebler | - | 1 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 32 | 6.4 | 11.1 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.39 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Jaylin McCants | - | 27 | 31.0 | 18.2 | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 12.7 | 15.6 | -52 | -13.0 | -27.0 | 51.5 | 19.6 | 68.4 | 0.98 | 57.9 | 53.1 |
| Connor Pytleski | - | 1 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 40.9 | 85.7 | 80.0 | 0 | 0.95 | 114.3 | 114.3 |
| Sam Kilburg | - | 27 | 33.4 | 13.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 11.0 | 9.7 | -15 | -5.0 | -8.2 | 44.3 | 37.3 | 55.2 | 0.8 | 54.7 | 53.9 |
| Jamison Nickolai | - | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 37 | 7.4 | 15.7 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.33 | 37.0 | 28.6 |
| Brock Simon | - | 25 | 31.1 | 11.1 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 11.9 | -16 | -5.3 | -8.7 | 47.3 | 37.9 | 71.6 | 0.74 | 59.0 | 55.4 |
| Evan Glaser | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 34 | 6.8 | 15.6 | 83.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.05 | 85.4 | 83.3 |
| Dylan Anderson | - | 27 | 26.9 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 7.4 | 8.4 | -5 | -1.7 | -3.1 | 36.8 | 28.8 | 71.8 | 0.76 | 49.5 | 46.8 |
| Grady Thompson | - | 27 | 19.0 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 6.1 | -27 | -1.8 | -51.1 | 45.4 | 43.1 | 78.6 | 0.11 | 58.4 | 54.6 |
| Taydem Arguello | - | 26 | 19.5 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 18 | 6.0 | 31.5 | 38.4 | 30.9 | 73.3 | 0.25 | 52.2 | 49.3 |
| Garrett Grzesk | - | 1 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 41 | 8.2 | 14.1 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.28 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Sunday John | - | 23 | 19.1 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 4.2 | -69 | -17.2 | -48.2 | 45.0 | 29.3 | 56.7 | 0.3 | 53.9 | 52.7 |
| Aidan Harrington | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 15 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.73 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Wiley Sherburne | - | 25 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 4.0 | 47.1 | 41.7 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -0.91 | 46.6 | 44.4 |
| Kyle Krueger | - | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 20 | 4.0 | 23.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Ian Mindrup | - | 24 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 28.6 | 66.7 | - | 61.5 | 58.3 |
| Garrett Baumhover | - | 27 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3 | 1.0 | 20.3 | 31.8 | 37.5 | 0 | -0.64 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Cade Guinn | - | 25 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 35.3 | 0 | 71.4 | - | 42.3 | 35.3 |
| Dylan Hibicke | - | 23 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Michael Clarke | - | 25 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 47.5 | 40.0 |
| Jerrod Jessie Jr. | - | 25 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -5 | -5.0 | -6.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.22 | 46.6 | 41.7 |
| Alexander Arango | - | 17 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Reese Harris | - | 26 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Myles Leavy | - | 24 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 27.6 | 20.0 |
| Johnny McGowan | - | 19 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Kaleb Dixson | - | 19 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Luke Morton | - | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caden Albrecht | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cael Amos | - | 12 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Bauer | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Eli Rogers | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Underwood | - | 16 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Beauchamp | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 47 | 4.3 | 675.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG