Dubuque Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1087 (#106) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#86) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#325) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.711 (#271) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.706 (#270) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#269) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#172) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.629 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1148 (#108) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-11 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | Edgewood | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2022-11-22 | @ | Wartburg | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2022-11-26 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2022-11-27 | @ | Blackburn | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2022-12-07 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2022-12-10 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2022-12-17 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2022-12-28 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2022-12-29 | vs | Ramapo | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Coe | L | 67 - 88 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | Loras | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Simpson | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | Luther | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2023-01-25 | vs | Wartburg | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2023-02-08 | @ | Coe | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Simpson | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2023-02-15 | vs | Loras | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Luther | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2023-02-23 | vs | Coe | L | 73 - 78 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.