Dubuque Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1087 (#106) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#86) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#325) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.711 (#271) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.706 (#270) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#269) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#172) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.629 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1148 (#108) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-09 | vs | Blackburn | W | 68 - 52 |
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Augustana (IL) | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2021-11-14 | @ | UNI | L | 58 - 95 |
| 2021-11-16 | vs | Edgewood | W | 79 - 62 |
| 2021-11-23 | vs | Wartburg | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2021-11-27 | @ | WashU | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2021-11-28 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2021-12-08 | vs | Wis.-Stout | L | 80 - 89 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2021-12-19 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-20 | @ | Roanoke | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-05 | @ | Coe | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2022-01-08 | vs | Finlandia | W | 98 - 78 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | Loras | W | 70 - 64 |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Simpson | W | 69 - 48 |
| 2022-01-26 | @ | Wartburg | W | 59 - 42 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 84 - 64 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 70 - 46 |
| 2022-02-02 | vs | Buena Vista | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2022-02-07 | @ | Luther | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Coe | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Simpson | W | 90 - 68 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | Loras | W | 92 - 91 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Luther | W | 85 - 61 |
| 2022-02-24 | vs | Loras | W | 78 - 58 |
| 2022-02-26 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 71 - 52 |
| 2022-03-04 | @ | CWRU | L | 87 - 91 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.