Dubuque Spartans
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1126 (#98) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1087 (#106) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.9 (#86) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#325) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.711 (#271) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.706 (#270) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.627 (#269) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#172) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.630 (#287) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.629 (#285) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1155 (#96) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-10 | vs | Edgewood | W | 99 - 69 |
| 2021-01-13 | vs | North Central (MN) | W | 98 - 68 |
| 2021-01-16 | vs | Wartburg | W | 88 - 71 |
| 2021-01-23 | @ | Simpson | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2021-01-27 | vs | Coe | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2021-01-30 | @ | Wartburg | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2021-02-03 | vs | Loras | W | 99 - 91 |
| 2021-02-06 | vs | Simpson | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2021-02-15 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 104 - 82 |
| 2021-02-27 | vs | Luther | W | 94 - 70 |
| 2021-03-01 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2021-03-09 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2021-03-11 | vs | Coe | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2021-03-13 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 78 - 64 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.