Drury
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1111 (#82) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1057 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1156 (#37) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.8 (#107) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.0 (#140) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.806 (#240) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.771 (#200) | NetEff +9.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.925 (#186) | AdjNet +21.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.934 (#182) | AdjNet +22.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.791 (#174) | AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.752 (#49) | AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.804 (#96) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.809 (#82) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1157 (#71) | RD 93 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 67 - 97 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Saginaw Valley | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Southwest Baptist | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Truman St. | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Quincy | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Union (TN) | L | 75 - 98 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 49 - 47 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 80 - 46 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | W | 86 - 49 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | McKendree | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 81 - 49 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | UIndy | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Lewis | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Upper Iowa | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Quincy | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Truman St. | W | 88 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadyn Blanchard | - | 1 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 143 | 8.4 | 43.4 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 88.9 | 0.33 | 75.2 | 65.0 |
| Sara Mendel | - | 19 | 31.3 | 15.5 | 10.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 17.3 | 118 | 5.6 | 20.8 | 66.5 | 0.0 | 56.2 | 3.61 | 66.1 | 66.5 |
| Emma Schierbeek | - | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 84 | 4.9 | 49.2 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Rhi Gibbons | - | 19 | 33.1 | 14.1 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 12.2 | 8.7 | 190 | 9.0 | 31.6 | 42.4 | 40.0 | 77.3 | 2.0 | 50.8 | 45.5 |
| Mya Hiram | - | 1 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 105 | 6.2 | 41.0 | 62.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.52 | 71.1 | 68.8 |
| Grace Lyons | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 25 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -1.84 | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Kaylee King | - | 19 | 27.0 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 97 | 4.6 | 18.7 | 38.8 | 41.7 | 100.0 | 2.62 | 52.6 | 49.4 |
| Mia Riley | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 129 | 7.6 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.2 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Josie Storey | - | 18 | 15.8 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 67 | 3.5 | 21.8 | 45.4 | 47.5 | 94.7 | 0.77 | 63.6 | 59.8 |
| Jazz Gray | - | 19 | 24.9 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 39 | 1.9 | 9.5 | 36.1 | 0.0 | 62.0 | -1.42 | 40.5 | 36.1 |
| Claire Erickson | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -69 | -3.8 | -16.7 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.6 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Ally Schultz | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 23 | 1.4 | 18.4 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.89 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Raegan Halliday | - | 19 | 17.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 65 | 3.2 | 29.4 | 37.1 | 50.0 | 62.1 | 1.34 | 46.7 | 43.3 |
| Brooklyn Owens | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Elle Irwin | - | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 190 | 11.2 | 58.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.63 | 47.0 | 25.0 |
| Sage Stratton | - | 15 | 14.8 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 47 | 2.8 | 20.1 | 43.9 | 41.3 | 75.0 | 1.14 | 61.3 | 60.5 |
| Audra Pasakarnis | - | 19 | 24.3 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 73 | 3.5 | 18.1 | 37.5 | 24.1 | 84.6 | -0.15 | 44.8 | 41.5 |
| Charlotte Miller | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 41 | 2.4 | 14.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.48 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Mara Mitchell | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 52 | 3.2 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Talia Norman | - | 17 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 23 | 1.2 | 22.1 | 46.2 | 0 | 0 | -1.93 | 46.2 | 46.2 |
| Flora Lukow | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ellie Wells | - | 3 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16 | 4.0 | 229.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Melena Glysch | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 40 | 2.9 | 47.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.61 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Alyssa Wirth | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -17 | -1.5 | -22.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.36 | 53.2 | 100.0 |
| Teague Muncy | - | 17 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 59 | 3.1 | 52.8 | 37.1 | 33.3 | 44.4 | 1.23 | 41.1 | 40.0 |
| Brooke Teter | - | 3 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 14 | 3.5 | 115.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.05 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Charlee Bailey | - | 3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 8 | 2.0 | 160.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kenzie Garner | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 17 | 4.2 | 50.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG