Drexel Dragons
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1096 (#100) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1104 (#87) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1064 (#78) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.8 (#113) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.7 (#94) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.626 (#98) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.604 (#127) | AdjNet +3.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.605 (#127) | AdjNet +3.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.584 (#107) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 64.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.597 (#74) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.615 (#98) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.618 (#93) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1072 (#110) | RD 118 | GP 30 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | Villanova | L | 41 - 64 |
| 2002-11-25 | @ | Pennsylvania | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Monmouth | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2002-12-03 | @ | Lafayette | W | 65 - 47 |
| 2002-12-07 | N | Saint Joseph's | L | 37 - 50 |
| 2002-12-15 | @ | Quinnipiac | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | Niagara | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2002-12-23 | vs | Colgate | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2003-01-02 | @ | James Madison | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | George Mason | L | 53 - 75 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | UNC Wilmington | L | 86 - 88 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | William & Mary | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Towson | W | 85 - 56 |
| 2003-01-23 | @ | Delaware | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Hofstra | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2003-01-29 | vs | Old Dominion | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | UNC Wilmington | L | 56 - 77 |
| 2003-02-05 | @ | Hofstra | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Towson | W | 76 - 50 |
| 2003-02-12 | vs | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 59 - 72 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | James Madison | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2003-02-19 | @ | Old Dominion | W | 62 - 57 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | William & Mary | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2003-02-26 | vs | Delaware | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | George Mason | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2003-03-08 | N | Old Dominion | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2003-03-09 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2003-03-10 | N | UNC Wilmington | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2003-03-18 | @ | Temple | L | 59 - 68 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.