Drexel Dragons
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1185 (#55) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1229 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1131 (#26) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.7 (#88) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.0 (#99) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.822 (#20) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.664 (#99) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.664 (#99) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.626 (#86) | AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.601 (#72) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.685 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.681 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1210 (#37) | RD 120 | GP 29 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-01 | @ | Lehigh | W | 73 - 57 |
| 1993-12-03 | N | Texas Christian | W | 84 - 71 |
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Fairfield | W | 73 - 60 |
| 1993-12-08 | vs | Rider | W | 88 - 57 |
| 1993-12-20 | @ | Saint Joseph's | L | 64 - 65 |
| 1993-12-22 | vs | Monmouth | W | 90 - 72 |
| 1993-12-29 | N | Saint Peter's | W | 80 - 72 |
| 1993-12-30 | N | Marist | W | 75 - 65 |
| 1994-01-04 | @ | UMBC | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1994-01-10 | @ | Army | L | 67 - 70 |
| 1994-01-11 | @ | Rutgers | W | 76 - 64 |
| 1994-01-14 | @ | Maine | W | 72 - 68 |
| 1994-01-16 | @ | New Hampshire | W | 70 - 57 |
| 1994-01-21 | vs | Northeastern | W | 89 - 52 |
| 1994-01-23 | vs | Boston University | W | 88 - 73 |
| 1994-01-27 | @ | Hartford | L | 60 - 77 |
| 1994-01-29 | @ | Vermont | W | 100 - 87 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | Delaware | W | 74 - 67 |
| 1994-02-11 | vs | Vermont | W | 63 - 54 |
| 1994-02-13 | vs | Hartford | W | 81 - 62 |
| 1994-02-18 | @ | Boston University | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1994-02-20 | @ | Northeastern | W | 71 - 64 |
| 1994-02-25 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 81 - 62 |
| 1994-02-27 | vs | Maine | L | 73 - 79 |
| 1994-03-02 | vs | Delaware | W | 68 - 60 |
| 1994-03-05 | vs | Northeastern | W | 81 - 71 |
| 1994-03-07 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 85 - 75 |
| 1994-03-09 | vs | Maine | W | 86 - 78 |
| 1994-03-18 | N | Temple | L | 39 - 61 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.