🐻⬇️🏀

Drew

Also known as: Drew
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1014 (#316) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1042 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 974 (#528) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.9 (#211) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.6 (#380) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.404 (#489) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.4 More → 0.824 (#208) NetEff +10.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.319 (#439) AdjNet -6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.2 More → 0.299 (#445) AdjNet -7.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.408 (#429) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 54.2 More → 0.535 (#324) AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 54.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.568 (#319) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.555 (#334) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 20 More → 1034 (#266) RD 107 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Rutgers-Camden - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 vs Rutgers-Newark - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Franklin & Marshall - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Scranton - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Juniata - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ FDU-Florham - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 vs Penn St. Harrisburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Elizabethtown - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Saint Elizabeth - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Catholic - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Wilkes - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Susquehanna - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Moravian - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Juniata - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Scranton - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Lycoming - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Elizabethtown - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Goucher - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kaitlyn Reiner - 1 16.7 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 12 0.8 18.0 57.1 33.3 100.0 0.19 67.2 64.3
Gianna Pica - 18 22.8 8.4 3.4 0.4 0.8 0.4 1.4 9.3 2.7 -21 -1.2 -10.9 37.7 24.2 65.4 -2.31 42.3 40.1
Olivia Aliotta - 18 22.7 8.1 6.2 1.3 1.2 0.6 2.0 8.7 6.8 31 1.7 13.6 35.0 20.0 53.3 0.18 39.8 36.3
Amy Rachilla - 18 29.2 7.1 3.3 2.4 1.7 0.0 1.8 6.2 6.3 12 0.7 5.1 33.0 25.0 77.6 -0.22 46.2 36.6
Jocelyn Kingsley - 18 20.1 6.9 3.1 1.8 1.2 0.2 2.5 5.5 5.2 104 5.8 58.6 44.4 30.8 64.0 5.16 51.2 46.5
Maddie Beyer - 18 26.9 6.4 2.4 2.8 1.1 0.2 1.8 7.2 3.8 42 2.3 19.8 31.5 31.9 76.9 1.77 42.4 40.4
Molly Chapman - 18 19.8 5.7 4.9 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.9 4.2 7.7 56 3.3 33.1 40.8 27.3 77.6 1.41 52.8 42.8
Brenna Hezel - 17 18.5 5.0 4.5 1.2 0.9 1.1 0.9 4.8 6.9 40 2.5 36.8 42.0 0 56.7 1.64 45.1 42.0
Alice Altomare - 18 14.8 4.8 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.2 6.7 -0.4 61 3.6 59.2 23.1 23.3 62.5 0.42 33.6 31.4
Miabella Diaz - 17 19.1 4.2 3.5 0.8 1.2 0.5 1.3 4.8 4.2 23 1.5 26.3 33.3 29.6 71.4 0.74 41.3 38.3
Harrison Anderson - 1 10.5 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Katie Reiner - 15 4.8 1.1 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.7 0.9 12 0.8 18.0 24.0 14.3 100.0 0.19 32.3 28.0
Vivian O'Quinn - 5 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 15 3.0 1241.4 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Emily Bass - 13 2.9 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 -0.1 27 2.5 233.9 25.0 0.0 0 -0.02 25.0 25.0
Mia Hartman - 6 2.8 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 23 3.8 745.9 16.7 0.0 0 0.08 16.7 16.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG