🐻⬇️🏀

Drew

Also known as: Drew
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1143 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1193 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1108 (#84) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +3.2 (#81) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +5.0 (#280) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.853 (#269) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.7 More → 0.685 (#287) AdjNet +6.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.3 More → 0.677 (#289) AdjNet +6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.6 | AdjD 80.1 More → 0.642 (#258) AdjO 86.6 | AdjD 80.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 80.0 More → 0.685 (#116) AdjO 88.5 | AdjD 80.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.664 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.677 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 21 More → 1204 (#65) RD 102 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Centenary (NJ) W 93 - 70
2025-11-09 vs TCNJ W 82 - 78
2025-11-15 vs Rowan W 95 - 92
2025-11-19 @ Scranton W 79 - 76
2025-11-22 @ Juniata W 87 - 66
2025-11-25 @ St. Joseph's (L.I.) W 86 - 74
2025-12-03 vs Elizabethtown L 93 - 95
2025-12-06 vs Lycoming W 75 - 72
2025-12-16 @ Merchant Marine W 85 - 71
2025-12-29 vs Lancaster Bible L 80 - 88
2025-12-30 vs CCNY W 113 - 68
2026-01-07 vs Goucher W 97 - 70
2026-01-11 vs Catholic L 70 - 78
2026-01-14 vs Wilkes W 98 - 87
2026-01-17 vs Susquehanna W 97 - 88
2026-01-21 @ Moravian W 95 - 93
2026-01-24 vs Juniata L 72 - 75
2026-01-28 vs Scranton W 79 - 65
2026-01-31 @ Lycoming W 107 - 93
2026-02-04 @ Elizabethtown L 93 - 98
2026-02-07 @ Goucher W 99 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Eli Yusavage - 17 28.9 16.8 3.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 1.7 11.6 10.0 48 2.8 11.9 47.5 38.9 84.6 1.27 62.9 58.1
Andre De Los Reyes - 21 23.2 15.4 2.1 2.0 1.1 0.1 2.3 12.7 5.7 59 3.1 17.7 43.1 35.1 76.4 1.41 55.6 52.8
Charlie Thornton - 20 23.7 11.3 3.1 1.6 1.2 0.3 1.5 8.7 7.3 55 3.1 15.7 43.7 40.2 64.2 4.72 57.5 55.5
David Musial - 21 26.1 10.7 8.4 3.0 2.5 0.6 1.6 6.8 16.8 26 1.4 6.8 51.7 31.2 77.2 1.9 63.0 57.0
Benjamin Manns - 21 18.2 9.9 5.5 1.2 0.6 0.5 1.2 6.6 9.9 41 2.6 15.9 55.1 34.1 76.4 -0.18 64.1 60.1
Devon Musial - 17 21.4 7.7 4.2 1.8 0.8 0.2 1.6 5.3 7.9 8 0.5 2.5 47.8 31.6 82.5 -0.33 60.9 54.4
Marc Herasme - 21 13.7 6.3 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.4 4.0 4.0 -9 -0.5 -4.4 48.2 46.2 81.8 0.83 66.8 62.4
Kevin Cronin - 21 22.8 5.8 4.3 1.9 0.9 0.2 1.0 4.5 7.6 -27 -1.4 -8.5 40.4 25.0 71.4 -0.87 53.8 48.4
Jalen Holmes - 4 5.5 4.5 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 4.0 3.5 -20 -6.7 -72.0 43.8 50.0 50.0 -0.03 50.7 50.0
Erik Porch - 12 11.8 3.2 1.8 1.0 1.2 0.1 0.8 3.4 3.1 36 3.3 138.2 31.7 11.1 66.7 -0.02 39.9 34.1
Taylor Perlmutter - 20 11.9 2.7 1.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.5 3.2 -5 -0.3 -3.0 30.0 5.6 71.9 -0.49 42.1 31.0
Ben Kipnis - 20 8.1 2.4 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.1 1.2 2.1 1.3 -2 -0.1 -2.4 37.2 28.6 55.6 -2.18 50.0 48.8
Reid Chauhan - 6 2.8 1.5 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 -10 -2.5 -127.7 80.0 100.0 0 -0.03 90.0 90.0
Kevin Cotton - 7 2.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.3 -12 -3.0 -140.5 44.4 33.3 0 0.01 55.6 55.6
Jack Garside - 11 4.8 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 -10 -1.1 -888.9 55.6 0 42.9 -0.02 53.8 55.6
Rell Johnson - 4 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.5 6 2.0 68.6 25.0 33.3 0 1.18 37.5 37.5
Connor Jepson - 6 2.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.2 -4 -1.3 -59.6 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.01 26.6 0.0
Rocco Checchetto - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG