Drake
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 921 (#187) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 937 (#230) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.6 (#161) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.5 (#167) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.363 (#211) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.484 (#159) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.484 (#158) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.484 (#162) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.437 (#205) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#178) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.431 (#184) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 957 (#182) | RD 147 | GP 27 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-24 | vs | Liberty | W | 80 - 59 |
| 1995-11-28 | @ | Iowa | L | 66 - 98 |
| 1995-12-02 | @ | Loyola (IL) | W | 70 - 62 |
| 1995-12-04 | @ | Utah | L | 50 - 86 |
| 1995-12-06 | vs | Iowa State | L | 62 - 65 |
| 1995-12-09 | vs | Samford | W | 77 - 64 |
| 1995-12-16 | vs | Baylor | L | 75 - 78 |
| 1995-12-30 | @ | UTSA | W | 94 - 86 |
| 1996-01-04 | vs | Wichita State | W | 66 - 62 |
| 1996-01-08 | vs | Creighton | W | 59 - 56 |
| 1996-01-11 | @ | Tulsa | L | 64 - 86 |
| 1996-01-13 | @ | Wichita State | W | 64 - 55 |
| 1996-01-16 | vs | Indiana State | W | 81 - 65 |
| 1996-01-21 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 76 - 82 |
| 1996-01-23 | vs | Southern Illinois | W | 87 - 67 |
| 1996-01-25 | @ | Illinois State | W | 72 - 68 |
| 1996-01-27 | vs | Tulsa | L | 73 - 79 |
| 1996-01-31 | @ | Bradley | L | 60 - 77 |
| 1996-02-03 | vs | Evansville | W | 65 - 61 |
| 1996-02-08 | @ | Indiana State | L | 83 - 85 |
| 1996-02-10 | @ | Evansville | L | 69 - 80 |
| 1996-02-14 | vs | Illinois State | L | 52 - 74 |
| 1996-02-17 | @ | Southern Illinois | W | 71 - 68 |
| 1996-02-19 | vs | Missouri State | L | 81 - 84 |
| 1996-02-24 | vs | Northern Iowa | L | 66 - 83 |
| 1996-02-26 | @ | Creighton | L | 62 - 76 |
| 1996-03-02 | N | Bradley | L | 51 - 64 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.