Drake
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 975 (#163) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 985 (#161) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#161) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.3 (#163) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.6 (#147) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.343 (#207) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.480 (#155) | AdjNet -0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.482 (#155) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.458 (#168) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 75.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.469 (#170) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.491 (#157) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.493 (#155) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1019 (#132) | RD 148 | GP 27 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-29 | vs | Iowa | L | 68 - 103 |
| 1994-12-03 | @ | Toledo | L | 68 - 86 |
| 1994-12-06 | @ | Iowa State | L | 69 - 94 |
| 1994-12-10 | vs | UTSA | W | 105 - 99 |
| 1994-12-17 | vs | Tulsa | L | 76 - 93 |
| 1994-12-23 | vs | Loyola (IL) | L | 60 - 72 |
| 1994-12-29 | vs | San Diego | W | 99 - 98 |
| 1995-01-02 | @ | Tulane | L | 72 - 86 |
| 1995-01-06 | vs | Houston | W | 85 - 65 |
| 1995-01-08 | N | Northern Iowa | W | 78 - 67 |
| 1995-01-11 | @ | Bradley | L | 54 - 61 |
| 1995-01-15 | vs | Wichita State | W | 69 - 46 |
| 1995-01-18 | @ | Missouri State | L | 66 - 80 |
| 1995-01-23 | vs | Creighton | W | 79 - 63 |
| 1995-01-26 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 68 - 89 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Indiana State | W | 83 - 77 |
| 1995-01-31 | vs | Bradley | L | 55 - 73 |
| 1995-02-02 | @ | Creighton | W | 78 - 74 |
| 1995-02-03 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1995-02-09 | @ | Tulsa | W | 60 - 53 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Wichita State | L | 60 - 62 |
| 1995-02-15 | vs | Illinois State | W | 82 - 78 |
| 1995-02-18 | vs | Missouri State | W | 76 - 75 |
| 1995-02-20 | vs | Evansville | L | 72 - 86 |
| 1995-02-25 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 82 - 71 |
| 1995-02-27 | @ | Illinois State | L | 64 - 66 |
| 1995-03-04 | N | Southern Illinois | L | 65 - 85 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.