Drake
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 917 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 920 (#206) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 946 (#209) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.5 (#167) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#147) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.402 (#197) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.442 (#166) | AdjNet -2.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.443 (#166) | AdjNet -2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.460 (#174) | AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 78.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.478 (#167) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.437 (#182) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.440 (#181) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 907 (#205) | RD 148 | GP 26 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-30 | @ | Iowa | L | 86 - 90 |
| 1993-12-04 | vs | Toledo | W | 90 - 87 |
| 1993-12-07 | vs | Iowa State | L | 67 - 83 |
| 1993-12-12 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 54 - 71 |
| 1993-12-23 | vs | Bradley | L | 63 - 71 |
| 1993-12-28 | N | Detroit Mercy | W | 73 - 72 |
| 1993-12-29 | N | Florida A&M | W | 65 - 53 |
| 1994-01-03 | @ | Houston | W | 84 - 76 |
| 1994-01-07 | @ | San Diego | L | 80 - 96 |
| 1994-01-10 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 76 - 86 |
| 1994-01-13 | @ | Tulsa | L | 98 - 115 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | Missouri State | W | 76 - 63 |
| 1994-01-20 | vs | Creighton | W | 77 - 64 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Illinois State | L | 79 - 89 |
| 1994-01-24 | @ | Bradley | L | 91 - 93 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Tulsa | L | 80 - 99 |
| 1994-02-02 | @ | Wichita State | L | 79 - 83 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Indiana State | W | 74 - 70 |
| 1994-02-09 | @ | Creighton | W | 81 - 75 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Northern Iowa | L | 79 - 102 |
| 1994-02-17 | @ | Indiana State | W | 63 - 62 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 71 - 73 |
| 1994-02-24 | vs | Illinois State | L | 66 - 72 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Missouri State | L | 52 - 62 |
| 1994-02-28 | vs | Wichita State | W | 109 - 67 |
| 1994-03-05 | N | Tulsa | L | 82 - 91 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.