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Dominican (CA)

Also known as: Dominican (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 900 (#404) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 914 (#446) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 939 (#577) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.2 (#312) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -16.2 (#571) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.062 (#658) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -43.1 More → 0.006 (#677) AdjNet -43.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -43.7 More → 0.006 (#675) AdjNet -43.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 47.3 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.075 (#678) AdjO 47.3 | AdjD 74.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 52.8 | AdjD 61.9 More → 0.305 (#599) AdjO 52.8 | AdjD 61.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.210 (#592) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.223 (#587) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 21 More → 890 (#427) RD 102 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Beloit W 68 - 47
2025-11-11 vs Lawrence L 44 - 61
2025-11-15 @ Blackburn W 81 - 60
2025-11-22 @ North Park W 58 - 57
2025-12-03 vs MSOE L 43 - 66
2025-12-10 vs Concordia Chicago L 55 - 66
2025-12-13 vs Maranatha Baptist W 81 - 39
2025-12-14 @ Monmouth (IL) L 59 - 71
2025-12-16 @ Mount Mary W 60 - 48
2025-12-30 vs Monmouth (IL) W 60 - 44
2026-01-10 @ Marian (WI) W 69 - 51
2026-01-14 vs Rockford W 69 - 44
2026-01-17 vs St. Norbert L 38 - 57
2026-01-21 @ Concordia Wisconsin L 45 - 65
2026-01-28 @ Aurora L 59 - 94
2026-01-31 vs Edgewood W 55 - 52
2026-02-04 vs Illinois Tech W 48 - 41
2026-02-07 @ Lakeland L 59 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lia Saunders - 18 28.1 11.1 2.6 2.6 2.3 0.2 2.1 10.7 6.1 88 4.6 24.3 37.8 29.2 68.6 3.37 46.4 42.7
Kennedy Yost - 18 25.2 9.9 5.5 2.2 1.4 0.1 2.5 9.5 7.1 57 2.7 17.1 38.6 23.6 86.8 0.8 47.4 42.4
Teagan Dahl - 18 23.0 7.9 4.6 0.4 1.3 0.4 2.0 7.8 4.8 29 1.5 12.7 39.3 31.0 60.6 -2.33 46.3 43.9
Jasmina Jenkins - 1 13.3 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 65 3.4 58.6 66.7 66.7 0 0.1 100.0 100.0
Kaitlyn Milison - 17 15.0 4.8 4.3 1.0 0.9 0.5 2.2 5.5 3.9 37 1.9 22.9 31.2 22.7 55.9 -1.9 38.0 33.9
Eva Herbig - 18 13.9 4.6 2.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 6.0 0.8 -51 -2.8 -36.4 26.9 27.0 0 -1.02 38.0 38.0
Allannah Jackson - 18 23.7 4.3 5.2 2.4 3.0 0.0 2.6 3.8 8.5 72 3.8 23.9 44.9 16.7 29.8 -0.66 43.5 46.4
Emily Bouaphanh - 18 16.6 4.3 1.8 0.9 1.1 0.1 1.3 4.7 2.1 40 2.1 13.2 29.4 0.0 57.1 0.19 36.6 29.4
Olivia Genthner - 11 15.7 3.9 3.5 0.5 0.9 0.1 0.9 4.2 3.8 38 2.9 130.5 37.0 28.6 63.6 3.02 42.3 39.1
Aya Deiri - 17 22.3 3.8 2.9 1.5 1.2 0.0 2.2 5.4 1.9 25 1.4 9.1 27.5 19.0 50.0 -2.62 33.4 31.9
Danielle Washington - 3 8.6 2.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.7 -9 -3.0 -14.1 33.3 40.0 50.0 -0.53 51.5 50.0
Sophia Lohmeier - 4 4.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.8 -16 -3.2 -270.4 42.9 60.0 25.0 -0.78 57.1 64.3
Kamila Gajkowska - 15 4.9 1.6 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.4 1.9 12 0.8 18.1 42.9 16.7 100.0 0.92 51.7 45.2
Xi Le O'Neill - 14 8.6 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.2 18 1.1 26.6 30.8 30.0 0 -1.34 42.3 42.3
Dayton Sibert - 4 3.6 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.2 1.8 -10 -2.0 -169.0 0.0 0 75.0 -0.78 66.4 0.0
Laila Jones - 6 3.3 1.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.8 -5 -0.6 -46.7 42.9 0 100.0 -0.8 50.8 42.9
Jaylani Hernandez - 12 6.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.8 6 0.5 45.7 17.6 12.5 100.0 1.44 31.2 20.6
Maya Kasuboski - 13 4.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1 -0.1 -14 -0.9 -37.6 14.3 28.6 0 -1.62 21.4 21.4
Xi Lee O'Neill - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 18 1.1 26.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.34 0.0 0.0
Izzy Bolanos - 3 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -1.0 -8 -2.0 -135.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.78 0.0 0.0
Destiny Rodriguez - 3 5.4 0.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG