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Dominican (CA)

Also known as: Dominican (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1175 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1162 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 959 (#545) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +14.8 (#46) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -4.9 (#436) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.823 (#228) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.3 More → 0.855 (#158) NetEff +13.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.7 More → 0.885 (#216) AdjNet +17.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.7 More → 0.848 (#253) AdjNet +14.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 60.0 More → 0.703 (#256) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 60.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.447 (#475) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.415 (#435) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.413 (#436) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 74 | GP 42 More → 946 (#303) RD 74 | GP 42

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Pace L 65 - 68
2025-11-14 @ Chico St. W 84 - 63
2025-11-15 @ UC Merced W 84 - 70
2025-11-15 @ Adelphi L 56 - 68
2025-11-19 vs St. Thomas Aquinas W 75 - 61
2025-11-21 @ San Fran. St. W 64 - 53
2025-11-22 @ Saint Michael's L 76 - 79
2025-11-22 vs CSUSB W 66 - 53
2025-11-25 vs Holy Family L 65 - 79
2025-11-25 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay W 65 - 47
2025-11-30 vs Goldey-Beacom W 72 - 53
2025-12-06 @ Assumption L 40 - 86
2025-12-09 @ Caldwell L 60 - 82
2025-12-13 @ Point Loma L 71 - 76
2025-12-13 @ Chestnut Hill L 71 - 75
2025-12-15 @ CUI L 68 - 75
2025-12-16 vs Southern Conn. St. W 72 - 67
2025-12-19 @ American Int'l L 56 - 68
2025-12-21 @ Menlo W 74 - 70
2026-01-01 vs Point Loma W 80 - 74
2026-01-03 vs CUI W 75 - 63
2026-01-03 vs Wilmington (DE) W 53 - 45
2026-01-06 vs Felician L 49 - 68
2026-01-08 @ Mercy L 52 - 76
2026-01-10 @ Georgian Court L 55 - 57
2026-01-10 vs Hawaii Pacific W 71 - 68
2026-01-14 vs Bridgeport W 54 - 34
2026-01-15 @ Hawaii Hilo W 82 - 60
2026-01-17 @ Chaminade W 94 - 64
2026-01-17 @ Jefferson L 44 - 61
2026-01-20 @ Post L 47 - 62
2026-01-24 @ Holy Family L 52 - 74
2026-01-24 @ Jessup W 69 - 50
2026-01-26 vs Menlo W 58 - 53
2026-01-29 @ Vanguard L 66 - 82
2026-01-31 @ Azusa Pacific L 80 - 82
2026-01-31 @ Goldey-Beacom L 63 - 71
2026-02-03 vs Caldwell L 47 - 74
2026-02-07 @ Fresno Pacific W 71 - 61
2026-02-07 vs Chestnut Hill L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mahliya Wilson - 17 25.5 17.1 4.8 1.9 2.6 0.4 2.2 15.3 9.3 94 5.2 27.1 43.1 12.5 64.1 2.28 47.7 43.3
Kaylyn Buchanon-Lamb - 1 39.7 16.0 6.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 16.0 30 10.0 33.9 50.0 100.0 70.0 0.36 64.5 56.2
Cayla Howard - 19 33.6 13.4 5.8 2.1 1.8 1.5 2.3 12.9 9.5 -142 -9.5 -60.7 33.1 26.8 72.8 -1.51 44.7 38.4
Keyonee Neal - 18 29.4 12.2 7.9 2.1 1.9 1.3 3.1 11.7 10.7 129 6.8 37.6 39.8 30.8 72.0 2.16 47.2 43.6
Ketura Rutty - 21 23.0 11.0 6.6 1.1 1.4 0.4 2.4 8.5 9.6 -46 -3.1 -24.9 53.9 0 62.5 0.75 56.3 53.9
Kaylyn Buchanon - 17 32.8 8.9 5.8 4.9 3.0 0.1 1.8 6.1 14.9 62 3.4 19.7 47.1 54.5 78.7 1.35 58.1 50.0
Tamia Nunes - 21 31.2 8.6 7.3 2.6 1.9 0.3 3.3 10.4 7.0 -79 -4.9 -25.5 32.1 22.3 58.1 -0.35 39.1 37.4
Janiya Sawyer - 13 19.1 8.4 2.9 1.2 0.8 0.0 1.5 7.2 4.8 38 2.5 25.2 39.8 18.2 78.6 -0.82 48.9 40.9
Isobel Crosswhite - 16 16.2 8.3 3.2 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.6 5.6 6.4 18 1.1 8.4 57.8 50.0 78.6 0.2 65.0 61.7
Sky Priester - 21 27.1 8.1 2.3 2.2 1.1 0.2 2.9 8.9 2.1 -100 -6.7 -36.9 37.4 22.2 62.9 -0.2 42.0 39.6
Alyssa Alvarado - 18 21.6 7.6 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.9 7.9 2.1 94 4.9 54.0 36.6 29.3 60.0 1.3 46.1 45.1
Isabella Javier - 21 26.5 6.6 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.0 1.2 6.7 2.8 -88 -5.9 -36.8 37.6 19.0 55.3 -0.5 44.1 41.8
Julianne Cotterill - 18 21.1 4.9 4.9 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.9 4.2 7.7 82 4.3 37.3 52.0 0 47.8 1.71 52.3 52.0
Aryn Bright - 17 19.0 4.2 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.1 1.8 5.1 1.1 36 2.0 32.1 30.2 24.1 56.5 0.21 37.5 34.3
Dalana Taylor - 21 18.2 3.7 3.5 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.0 3.6 3.8 -18 -1.1 -8.9 42.7 0 46.7 -0.36 44.2 42.7
Brianna Pope - 19 8.6 3.1 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.9 2.7 1.7 -13 -0.9 -12.8 42.3 0.0 57.7 1.73 46.5 42.3
Sofia Addiego - 16 9.4 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.2 2.8 1.4 -10 -0.6 -20.1 35.6 31.0 50.0 -1.66 45.8 45.6
Ryan Nair - 3 7.7 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.7 4 0.8 81.4 33.3 66.7 50.0 -0.3 50.9 50.0
Jamia Sawyer - 13 9.3 2.1 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.4 2.7 0.7 20 1.3 29.0 28.6 12.5 60.0 -0.42 34.3 30.0
Emma Gribben - 21 9.4 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 2.0 -55 -3.4 -75.3 40.5 20.0 100.0 -1.51 49.2 44.6
Kayleigh Ahern - 21 11.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 2.0 0.5 -21 -1.4 -12.0 33.3 26.7 100.0 1.18 44.3 42.9
Adia Walker - 15 7.0 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 2.0 1.9 16 1.1 27.0 26.7 0.0 100.0 -2.01 34.8 26.7
Serenity Downey - 20 9.3 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 1.2 1.3 0.8 -16 -1.1 -23.0 34.6 0.0 64.3 -0.48 42.0 34.6
Sydnee Norwood - 6 4.3 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 6 0.8 122.0 0.0 0 66.7 -0.3 26.2 0.0
Angelina Pace - 7 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -0.1 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Aleena Skyers - 15 4.4 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 -0.2 -24 -2.2 -43.7 7.7 10.0 0 0.18 11.5 11.5
Leticia Watson - 8 6.0 0.1 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.8 -0.2 -7 -0.9 -17.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.42 3.4 0.0
Kiana Tuigamala - 4 3.7 0.0 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.2 -11 -1.8 -66.8 0.0 0 0 -1.89 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG