District of Columbia Firebirds
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 998 (#232) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.0 (#602) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.9 (#448) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.484 (#295) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.327 (#444) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#434) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 928 (#340) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-09 | @ | Howard Bison | L | 59 - 87 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Stone
|
- | 1 | 35.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.25 | 56.6 | 55.3 |
J. Marable-Williams
|
PG | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.3 | 35.0 |
H. Haye
|
F | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
N. Kenton
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 77.3 | 83.3 |
P. Brown Jr.
|
- | 1 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 165 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.62 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
D. Buriss
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 30.5 | 16.7 |
D. Hicks
|
G | 1 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -34 | -1.4 | -4.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
T. Curtis
|
- | 1 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 6.3 | 0.0 |
A. Vidmar
|
F | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 10 | 0.9 | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG