District of Columbia Firebirds
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#429) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.0 (#532) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.9 (#436) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.418 (#491) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.263 (#471) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.302 (#458) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 803 (#552) | RD 350 | GP 4 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-09 | @ | Villanova Wildcats | L | 58 - 78 |
| 2012-11-16 | vs | Marshall Thundering Herd | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ | Hofstra Pride | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2012-11-18 | @ | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L | 48 - 96 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q. Jones
|
- | 3 | 34.0 | 11.7 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 13.7 | -50 | -2.4 | -5.0 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 162.6 | 50.0 |
Z. Ashmawy
|
- | 3 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.63 | 450.0 | 0.0 |
D. Jones
|
- | 3 | 32.0 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 13.0 | -14 | -0.9 | -5.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 70.0 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG