Dillard Blue Devils
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 877 (#700) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 843 (#733) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 989 (#459) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.1 (#589) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.8 (#513) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.438 (#496) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.303 (#465) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.327 (#465) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 880 (#517) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-11 | @ | New Orleans Privateers | L | 66 - 93 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player #4910046
|
- | 1 | 34.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
R. Carson Jr.
|
G | 1 | 18.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 130 | 4.6 | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.59 | 0 | 0 |
J. August
|
- | 1 | 40.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
Player #4914337
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4910043
|
- | 1 | 36.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4910045
|
- | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4602056
|
- | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Myers
|
F | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 100 | 3.6 | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0 | 0 |
Player #4910048
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Player #4910052
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
N. Williams
|
- | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 141 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.07 | 0 | 0 |
Player #4910047
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG