Dickinson
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1069 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1182 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1109 (#86) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.2 (#74) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#222) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.703 (#364) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.672 (#290) | NetEff +5.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.881 (#225) | AdjNet +17.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.880 (#229) | AdjNet +16.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.685 (#248) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 54.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.685 (#140) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 52.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.768 (#154) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.763 (#152) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1201 (#66) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Messiah | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Emory | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Misericordia | W | 60 - 51 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Shenandoah | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | McDaniel | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | York (PA) | W | 74 - 54 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Widener | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Elizabethtown | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Swarthmore | W | 59 - 52 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | McDaniel | L | 29 - 67 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Haverford | W | 60 - 42 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 45 - 64 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 40 - 60 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ursinus | W | 62 - 43 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 62 - 57 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Washington Col. | W | 59 - 49 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Chapman | - | 19 | 23.8 | 11.8 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 22 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 43.4 | 0.0 | 81.7 | 4.42 | 51.6 | 43.4 |
| Victoria Zerbe | - | 19 | 29.3 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 10.8 | 62 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 49.1 | 0.0 | 76.7 | 5.07 | 51.8 | 49.1 |
| Lizzie McGrath | - | 19 | 30.9 | 9.3 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 5.5 | 10 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 34.2 | 26.9 | 90.0 | 1.15 | 45.6 | 42.9 |
| Clare Cronley | - | 19 | 26.9 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 4.1 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.8 | 31.6 | 37.7 | 82.1 | 0.99 | 41.9 | 38.2 |
| Addison Cadwell | - | 19 | 19.6 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.9 | -17 | -0.8 | -5.0 | 29.3 | 30.6 | 72.5 | -0.24 | 39.2 | 33.5 |
| Emma Landes | - | 19 | 14.5 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 39.7 | 0.0 | 56.8 | 0.47 | 45.5 | 39.7 |
| Jelena Subasic | - | 16 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 0.3 | -53 | -3.1 | -31.7 | 34.5 | 40.7 | 0 | -0.19 | 44.5 | 44.5 |
| Esther Nlebemuo | - | 18 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 4.3 | -11 | -0.6 | -6.9 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -2.45 | 40.5 | 38.5 |
| Leah Dubin | - | 19 | 20.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 36.1 | 30.0 | 40.0 | -2.01 | 44.6 | 44.4 |
| Jessica Maina | - | 16 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | -0.5 | -18 | -1.0 | -23.4 | 24.3 | 28.1 | 0 | -2.27 | 36.5 | 36.5 |
| Gabby Smelcer | - | 17 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | -35 | -1.8 | -33.2 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 1.33 | 25.7 | 17.9 |
| Lily Spanos | - | 8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | -35 | -3.9 | -255.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.54 | 34.3 | 25.0 |
| Sophie Zirkin | - | 7 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -22 | -2.8 | -261.4 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.63 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG