Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1064 (#113) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1084 (#116) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1023 (#225) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.6 (#73) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.962 (#144) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.989 (#76) | NetEff +35.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.972 (#116) | AdjNet +30.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.974 (#120) | AdjNet +30.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.862 (#119) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 55.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.759 (#45) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.855 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.841 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1059 (#176) | RD 302 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 81 - 59 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren With | - | 1 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 71.4 | 0 | - | 93.8 | 93.8 |
| Emily Counsel | - | 1 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 83.3 | 0.0 | - | 109.0 | 125.0 |
| Angelina Robles | - | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 58.3 | 0.31 | 66.4 | 66.7 |
| Makayla Minett | - | 1 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Jordan Jones | - | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 47 | 4.3 | 7.2 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Madelyn Atkins | - | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -20 | -3.3 | -12.5 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.18 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Emma Smith | - | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.32 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Mary Wilson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 52 | 6.5 | 8.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.55 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Emari Doby | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alaisha Brown | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 59 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Shira Hagag | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Joclyen Wyatt | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Laila McLeod | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Reagan Pahl | - | 1 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG