Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1064 (#113) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1084 (#116) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1023 (#225) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.6 (#73) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.962 (#144) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.989 (#76) | NetEff +35.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.972 (#116) | AdjNet +30.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.974 (#120) | AdjNet +30.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.862 (#119) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 55.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.759 (#45) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.855 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.841 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1115 (#101) | RD 288 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Regis (CO) | W | 67 - 40 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | MSU Denver | W | 92 - 68 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 80 - 53 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coryn Watts | - | 3 | 31.8 | 23.3 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 18.3 | 12.3 | - | - | - | 50.9 | 31.0 | 71.4 | - | 60.3 | 59.1 |
| Laia Monclova | - | 3 | 24.7 | 18.3 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 45.8 | 50.0 | - | 62.8 | 63.1 |
| Victoria Baker | - | 3 | 24.8 | 9.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 9.3 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 35.7 | 100.0 | - | 50.2 | 48.2 |
| Alexa Pletschette | - | 3 | 6.2 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 67.9 | 60.7 |
| Laila McLeod | - | 3 | 21.7 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Brooke Murrell | - | 3 | 15.1 | 5.3 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 48.1 | 42.9 |
| Karolina Padilla | - | 3 | 14.5 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 16.7 | 66.7 | - | 40.3 | 31.8 |
| Lily Esparza | - | 3 | 17.1 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 6.7 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 37.2 | 38.5 |
| Ana Conde | - | 3 | 17.8 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 30.0 | 25.0 |
| Jocelyn Medina | - | 3 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Paula Oliva Gomez | - | 3 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Natalia Fanjul Mardones | - | 3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -1.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Teodora Simoncevic | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anna Rosenberger | - | 3 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG