🐻⬇️🏀

Denver

Also known as: Denver
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1165 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1016 (#216) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +39.3 (#4) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +31.6 (#15) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.968 (#92) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +32.3 More → 0.977 (#45) AdjNet +32.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.0 More → 0.978 (#45) AdjNet +32.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.0 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.915 (#44) AdjO 99.0 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 94.7 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.878 (#4) AdjO 94.7 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.904 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.892 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 270 | GP 3 More → 1190 (#55) RD 270 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-09 vs Colo. Christian - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Alas. Anchorage - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs UCCS - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.