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Denver Nuggets

Also known as: Denver Nuggets
Program History

2027 Team Stats (5 games)

114.0
PPG
115.2
Opp
-1.2
Margin
47.1%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
78.9%
FT%
43.6
RPG
26.8
APG
15.8
TO
100.5
Est. poss./game
111.6
Adj PPG
112.5
Adj Opp PPG
#16
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1027 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +24 elo More → 1034 (#13) HCA +24 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +2.0 (#14) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.6 (#12) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.470 (#18) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.2 More → 0.470 (#18) NetEff -1.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.458 (#18) AdjNet -1.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.458 (#18) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 111.6 | AdjD 112.5 More → 0.481 (#16) AdjO 111.6 | AdjD 112.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 112.4 More → 0.490 (#15) AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 112.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.512 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.514 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 5 More → 976 (#18) RD 152 | GP 5

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-22 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 84 - 96
2026-10-24 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 141 - 135
2026-10-26 vs Golden State Warriors L 114 - 134
2026-10-28 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 104 - 91
2026-10-30 @ Phoenix Suns W 127 - 120
2026-11-02 vs Portland Trail Blazers - Preview
2026-11-04 vs Toronto Raptors - Preview
2026-11-07 @ Indiana Pacers - Preview

2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.

2026-2027 Shot Zones

425 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jokić22% Jokić38% DeRozan38% Jokić33% Braun22% Braun29% Braun22% Murray36% Murray40% Murray50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Murray16% Jokić39% DeRozan38% DeRozan33% Murray58% Braun29% Braun35% Murray38% Jokić50% Gordon20%
Misses: who misses most here

Jamal MurrayNikola JokićChristian BraunAaron GordonDeMar DeRozan

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 73-110 66.4 146 Nikola Jokić 22% (32 pts) Christian Braun 19% (28 pts) Jamal Murray 16% (6 misses) Nikola Jokić 16% (6 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 34-72 47.2 68 Nikola Jokić 38% (26 pts) DeMar DeRozan 15% (10 pts) Nikola Jokić 39% (15 misses) Aaron Gordon 16% (6 misses)
Mid-range left 13-39 33.3 26 DeMar DeRozan 38% (10 pts) Jamal Murray 23% (6 pts) DeMar DeRozan 38% (10 misses) Jamal Murray 19% (5 misses)
Mid-range center 6-9 66.7 12 Nikola Jokić 33% (4 pts) Bryce Hopkins 17% (2 pts) DeMar DeRozan 33% (1 misses) Jamal Murray 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 9-21 42.9 18 Christian Braun 22% (4 pts) Nikola Jokić 22% (4 pts) Jamal Murray 58% (7 misses) DeMar DeRozan 25% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 14-31 45.2 42 Christian Braun 29% (12 pts) Jamal Murray 29% (12 pts) Christian Braun 29% (5 misses) DeMar DeRozan 24% (4 misses)
Right corner 3 9-26 34.6 27 Christian Braun 22% (6 pts) Aaron Gordon 11% (3 pts) Christian Braun 35% (6 misses) Cameron Johnson 18% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 left 14-40 35.0 42 Jamal Murray 36% (15 pts) Christian Braun 21% (9 pts) Jamal Murray 38% (10 misses) Aaron Gordon 12% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 10-34 29.4 30 Jamal Murray 40% (12 pts) Aaron Gordon 20% (6 pts) Nikola Jokić 50% (12 misses) Aaron Gordon 17% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 right 18-43 41.9 54 Jamal Murray 50% (27 pts) Christian Braun 17% (9 pts) Aaron Gordon 20% (5 misses) Jamal Murray 16% (4 misses)