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Delta St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Delta St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 975 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1001 (#248) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 869 (#555) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +5.8 (#161) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -0.3 (#334) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.492 (#339) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.0 More → 0.919 (#185) NetEff +23.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.1 More → 0.717 (#285) AdjNet +8.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.1 More → 0.721 (#287) AdjNet +8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.650 (#276) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.491 (#322) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.426 (#377) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.423 (#380) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 25 More → 867 (#394) RD 97 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Lee L 74 - 76
2025-11-14 vs LeMoyne-Owen W 60 - 57
2025-11-17 vs Williams Baptist W 66 - 54
2025-11-22 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 79 - 85
2025-11-25 @ Ark.-Monticello L 69 - 75
2025-11-26 vs Virginia St. L 58 - 62
2025-11-29 vs Ouachita Baptist W 75 - 68
2025-12-04 vs Union (TN) L 78 - 84
2025-12-06 vs Christian Brothers W 67 - 64
2025-12-11 @ Montevallo L 60 - 63
2025-12-14 @ AUM W 83 - 65
2025-12-18 vs West Ala. L 51 - 67
2025-12-19 @ Black Hills St. L 57 - 81
2025-12-20 vs UAH L 63 - 76
2025-12-21 vs Holy Family W 73 - 61
2026-01-02 @ West Florida L 72 - 85
2026-01-04 @ Valdosta St. L 72 - 90
2026-01-08 vs Trevecca Nazarene W 92 - 78
2026-01-10 vs Lee W 73 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Mississippi Col. L 65 - 69
2026-01-22 @ Christian Brothers L 64 - 66
2026-01-29 vs AUM W 76 - 62
2026-01-31 vs Montevallo L 69 - 76
2026-02-05 @ UAH L 67 - 69
2026-02-07 @ West Ala. L 81 - 86

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zach Gray - 1 33.9 21.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 9.0 -64 -2.8 -24.0 57.1 28.6 75.0 1.18 66.6 64.3
Tylon Chatman - 1 35.0 20.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 10.0 26 1.2 9.7 50.0 57.1 66.7 2.19 65.3 64.3
DeShawn Goodwyn - 1 30.0 19.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 15.0 -23 -2.6 -587.2 46.2 62.5 100.0 0.13 68.4 65.4
DaCory Porter - 21 30.1 16.9 5.6 3.5 0.6 0.2 2.4 10.7 13.7 -8 -0.4 -2.6 51.8 35.7 83.6 0.15 63.7 56.2
Ponce James - 1 34.9 16.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 12.0 - - - 58.3 40.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Jake Daniel - 1 28.4 14.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 - - - 62.5 0.0 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
Zion Bethea - 1 9.3 14.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 - - - 62.5 60.0 100.0 - 82.9 81.2
Bryce Clayton - 21 33.5 13.0 2.4 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.9 9.7 7.0 31 1.5 11.1 43.8 38.5 90.0 1.37 62.1 58.6
Kose Egbule - 1 26.3 13.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 2.0 - - - 36.4 50.0 100.0 - 52.8 45.5
Dayveun Anderson - 1 36.7 12.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 13.0 -45 -2.1 -16.4 33.3 20.0 100.0 -0.95 53.6 38.9
Je'Marion Westbrook - 17 27.6 11.4 6.1 2.0 0.8 0.5 1.8 9.4 9.6 17 1.0 27.4 40.0 26.3 69.0 0.25 52.3 48.1
Ademar Santos - 1 20.6 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 100.0 - 79.9 75.0
Willie Walton - 1 28.1 11.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 -42 -1.8 -14.0 30.0 28.6 60.0 -0.36 45.1 40.0
Griffyn Doughty - 1 19.0 10.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 50.0 - 56.3 56.2
Jordan Lambert - 1 21.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 18 1.0 25.0 28.6 50.0 80.0 2.05 48.9 35.7
Kolby Horace - 4 14.1 8.8 3.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.8 6.8 5.2 - - - 37.0 22.2 92.9 - 52.8 40.7
Bessanty Saragba - 1 29.3 8.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 0 100.0 - 68.0 60.0
Camian Shell - 1 26.8 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 60.0 0 100.0 - 68.0 60.0
Corey Perkins - 1 29.1 7.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 40.0 0 60.0 - 48.6 40.0
Miles Webb - 1 31.6 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Samuel Whitmer - 21 30.7 6.9 4.1 2.1 0.8 0.1 2.0 6.9 5.2 -18 -0.9 -6.8 33.3 34.0 68.2 -0.99 47.2 45.1
Brendan Braddix - 21 19.5 6.1 2.4 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.4 5.8 4.8 -28 -1.3 -12.8 39.3 25.9 60.0 -0.25 47.7 45.5
Jamarcus Wilkins - 1 28.0 6.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 12.0 30 1.4 19.1 60.0 0 0 0.6 60.0 60.0
Elisha Puckett - 21 20.4 5.6 3.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.7 5.6 4.7 -18 -0.9 -13.4 38.5 27.1 84.6 1.56 47.7 45.3
Trey Stevens - 1 16.2 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
William Hopkins - 1 24.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 22 1.0 10.7 28.6 33.3 0 1.19 35.7 35.7
Marcus Jackson - 1 17.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 -36 -2.4 -26.7 100.0 0 100.0 -0.78 102.5 100.0
Phillip Hughes - 20 15.9 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.1 34 1.7 14.2 34.1 30.2 46.2 1.4 45.7 45.3
Jackson Twombly - 20 9.7 4.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 3.5 1.9 -6 -0.3 -8.4 40.8 18.8 70.0 0.43 50.5 45.1
Aiden Fishell - 1 15.8 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
DC Stewart - 1 18.1 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -2.0 -86 -4.1 -29.7 28.6 0.0 0 0.13 28.6 28.6
Spencer Clayton - 20 14.7 3.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.8 2.9 -55 -2.8 -54.0 37.5 38.9 75.0 -0.88 51.1 50.0
Will Beckstead - 1 3.4 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Jaiden Wright - 1 18.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 87 5.8 93.2 25.0 0.0 0 0.52 25.0 25.0
John Evans - 1 26.5 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -3.0 -52 -2.4 -32.0 14.3 0.0 0 -0.83 14.3 14.3
Cyril Obasogie - 1 3.1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jaylen Wynn - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -1 -0.1 -7.9 33.3 0.0 0 -0.84 33.3 33.3
Hayden Moseley - 1 2.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 20 1.0 39.3 100.0 0 0 -0.84 100.0 100.0
Ben Ritger - 1 10.3 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 50 2.5 25.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 1.39 20.5 0.0
Tim Vaughn - 1 13.2 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -1.0 16 0.7 6.5 50.0 0.0 0 -0.75 50.0 50.0
Will McCrory - 4 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 6 1.5 122.0 100.0 100.0 0 0.38 150.0 150.0
Bradyn Palmer - 1 6.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Weston Zacher - 1 21.9 0.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
John Clemmons - 1 1.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rahmir Moore - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dean Shepherd - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen StClair - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Thomas Craft - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tim Uzochuwku - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95 5.0 48.9 0 0 0 0.91 0 0
Tyrek Williams - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.6 5.8 0 0 0 -0.84 0 0
Davian Coleman - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.4 -5.5 0 0 0 1.53 0 0
Jaedan Jefferson - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Michael Cooper - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34 1.8 23.1 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
Luka Kecman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brent Bowman - 1 9.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Reese Frazier - 1 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.2 8.4 0 0 0 0.86 0 0
Dylan Holt - 1 1.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -7 -1.2 -43.4 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG