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Delta St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Delta St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 983 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 869 (#555) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +7.8 (#127) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -0.3 (#334) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.492 (#172) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.0 More → 0.919 (#179) NetEff +23.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.1 More → 0.717 (#138) AdjNet +8.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.1 More → 0.721 (#139) AdjNet +8.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.650 (#133) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.491 (#322) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.427 (#376) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.423 (#379) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 25 More → 882 (#391) RD 96 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs LeMoyne-Owen W 60 - 57
2025-11-17 vs Williams Baptist W 66 - 54
2025-11-22 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 79 - 85
2025-11-25 @ Ark.-Monticello L 69 - 75
2025-11-29 vs Ouachita Baptist W 75 - 68
2025-12-04 vs Union (TN) L 78 - 84
2025-12-06 vs Christian Brothers W 67 - 64
2025-12-11 @ Montevallo L 60 - 63
2025-12-14 @ AUM W 83 - 65
2025-12-18 vs West Ala. L 51 - 67
2025-12-20 vs UAH L 63 - 76
2026-01-02 @ West Florida L 72 - 85
2026-01-04 @ Valdosta St. L 72 - 90
2026-01-08 vs Trevecca Nazarene W 92 - 78
2026-01-10 vs Lee W 73 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Christian Brothers - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs AUM W 76 - 62
2026-01-31 vs Montevallo L 69 - 76
2026-02-05 @ UAH L 67 - 69
2026-02-07 @ West Ala. L 81 - 86
2026-02-10 @ Union (TN) W 97 - 90
2026-02-12 vs Valdosta St. L 103 - 112
2026-02-14 vs West Florida L 73 - 77
2026-02-19 @ Lee W 68 - 64
2026-02-21 @ Trevecca Nazarene L 66 - 83
2026-02-27 vs Mississippi Christian W 85 - 77
2026-03-02 @ West Ala. L 60 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
DaCory Porter - 26 31.5 17.4 5.5 3.5 0.6 0.2 2.6 11.8 12.9 -86 19 -4.5 -5.7 47.7 33.3 81.7 1.03 59.6 51.8
Je'Marion Westbrook - 23 29.6 14.1 6.1 1.9 0.7 0.4 1.8 10.5 11.0 -79 17 -4.6 -6.6 44.0 32.9 76.5 -2.56 58.4 53.9
Bryce Clayton - 27 34.2 12.2 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.9 8.9 7.6 -88 20 -4.4 -5.3 44.2 39.7 89.8 -0.83 62.9 59.4
Brendan Braddix - 27 21.2 7.0 2.5 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.5 6.0 5.5 -32 20 -1.6 -2.9 41.7 25.7 64.8 0.92 50.6 47.2
Kolby Horace - 5 11.3 7.0 3.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.4 5.4 4.2 - - - - 37.0 22.2 92.9 -0.94 52.8 40.7
Samuel Whitmer - 25 30.1 6.6 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.1 1.8 6.7 4.8 -70 18 -3.9 -5.5 32.1 32.2 73.1 -0.19 46.3 43.8
Elisha Puckett - 27 19.7 6.2 3.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.7 6.0 4.6 -90 19 -4.7 -10.2 40.1 28.7 83.3 -2.71 49.4 47.2
Jackson Twombly - 22 9.2 4.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 3.5 2.2 41 15 2.7 11.8 43.4 22.9 70.6 3.64 53.9 48.7
Phillip Hughes - 26 19.0 4.3 2.9 1.4 0.8 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.2 19 19 1.0 2.1 31.9 28.7 53.8 2.11 44.3 42.7
Spencer Clayton - 26 14.5 3.0 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 2.8 3.0 -41 20 -2.0 -5.6 38.4 38.8 75.0 0.5 52.2 51.4
Will McCrory - 6 3.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -0.77 150.0 150.0
Amir Gates - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Henry Maginn - 2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 0.2 0 0
Henry Mginn - 2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kaue Kalinowski - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Blake Thompson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bralyn Mayfield - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luka Kecman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Thomas Craft - 2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
Dwight Luckett - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG