🐻⬇️🏀

Delaware Valley

Also known as: Delaware Valley
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1036 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 984 (#348) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 900 (#609) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -6.7 (#262) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.7 (#466) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.353 (#519) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.0 More → 0.462 (#369) NetEff -1.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.6 More → 0.173 (#501) AdjNet -13.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.3 More → 0.156 (#506) AdjNet -14.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.303 (#502) AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.416 (#517) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 63.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.407 (#452) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.393 (#464) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 21 More → 932 (#390) RD 97 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ Rowan L 54 - 64
2025-11-14 vs Neumann W 74 - 42
2025-11-19 @ Montclair St. L 71 - 80
2025-11-21 vs Ursinus L 53 - 60
2025-11-22 vs St. Mary's (MD) W 83 - 38
2025-11-22 @ Franklin & Marshall L 46 - 51
2025-12-10 @ Bryn Mawr W 59 - 42
2025-12-12 @ Penn St.-Abington L 73 - 89
2025-12-15 vs Gwynedd Mercy W 64 - 54
2025-12-20 @ Goucher W 75 - 69
2025-12-30 vs Lancaster Bible W 57 - 54
2026-01-10 vs DeSales L 45 - 52
2026-01-14 vs FDU-Florham W 63 - 55
2026-01-17 vs King's (PA) W 71 - 64
2026-01-21 @ Stevens L 49 - 64
2026-01-24 @ Lebanon Valley L 53 - 54
2026-01-28 vs Misericordia L 58 - 64
2026-01-31 @ DeSales L 48 - 73
2026-02-04 @ FDU-Florham L 70 - 86
2026-02-07 vs Arcadia L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Whitney Evans - 18 37.0 17.2 4.5 3.4 1.9 0.0 3.1 16.8 7.2 - - - 37.4 30.8 81.4 - 47.3 43.4
Alexis Wright - 18 32.1 16.2 8.2 1.3 0.9 0.5 3.5 17.0 6.7 -263 -12.5 -67.0 35.0 25.0 72.3 -3.07 41.7 35.8
Iman Addison - 1 15.6 13.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 12.0 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 100.9 100.0
Jermesha Frierson - 1 27.6 13.0 6.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 22.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 50.0 - 73.2 75.0
Amya Scott - 1 18.2 11.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 6.0 20 2.9 1411.8 57.1 66.7 50.0 0.15 69.8 71.4
Ericka Huggins - 1 26.4 11.0 10.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 18.0 - - - 55.6 33.3 0 - 61.1 61.1
Mahogany Cottingham - 1 21.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 2.0 - - - 36.4 0.0 100.0 - 44.6 36.4
Ciana Feliciano - 18 35.7 8.1 6.5 1.7 2.4 0.2 2.6 8.4 7.8 - - - 36.2 22.2 80.6 - 43.8 39.5
Liliana Harrison - 1 19.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Kaitlyn Adams - 1 9.3 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 97 5.4 35.3 100.0 0 0.0 0.07 87.2 100.0
Juliana Harris - 18 19.5 5.6 4.6 0.8 1.1 0.5 1.4 6.6 4.5 - - - 33.1 100.0 75.9 - 38.6 33.5
Zyan Reynolds - 1 9.8 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Emma Miller - 18 14.7 3.6 4.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.1 2.9 5.2 - - - 52.8 0 50.0 - 53.3 52.8
Alexis Lease-Springer - 18 20.4 3.2 3.6 1.7 0.4 0.4 1.6 2.8 4.8 - - - 39.2 36.8 66.7 - 49.5 46.1
Channing Williams - 1 3.9 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 49 3.1 31.7 50.0 50.0 0 3.81 75.0 75.0
Jayla Rivera - 16 12.2 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.2 0.9 41 2.0 36.6 30.6 36.8 75.0 1.09 44.3 40.3
Layla Burton - 1 16.8 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Aniyah Jones - 1 9.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -3.0 38 2.2 55.2 25.0 0.0 0 0.46 25.0 25.0
Anijah Davis - 15 10.8 1.9 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 2.7 1.3 81 4.8 52.0 26.8 10.0 62.5 1.17 32.6 29.3
Payton Witman - 13 4.3 1.3 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 - - - 40.0 0 64.3 - 52.6 40.0
Aubrey Ennis - 15 14.4 1.2 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.0 1.8 3.3 -0.2 - - - 14.3 5.3 75.0 - 17.7 15.3
Ava Irizarry - 13 4.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.5 - - - 25.0 25.0 50.0 - 35.5 34.4
Nadia Seiders - 7 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Elizabeth Oresto - 4 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ronee Brodie - 7 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mary Palazzo - 2 1.1 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nevaeh Reaves - 1 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nykesha Sanders - 1 14.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Toni Smith - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 1.92 0 0
Isabella Ciccotelli - 3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Olivia Rexrode - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG