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Delaware Valley

Also known as: Delaware Valley
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 985 (#405) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 967 (#414) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 859 (#714) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -6.0 (#204) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.5 (#571) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.481 (#481) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.5 More → 0.211 (#529) AdjNet -11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.7 More → 0.203 (#530) AdjNet -11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.322 (#513) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 76.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 78.9 More → 0.378 (#600) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 78.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.257 (#622) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.263 (#625) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 20 More → 819 (#549) RD 99 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Susquehanna L 59 - 67
2025-11-12 @ Penn St.-Abington W 86 - 82
2025-11-15 @ UMSV W 87 - 62
2025-11-20 vs Rowan W 100 - 93
2025-11-22 @ McDaniel L 65 - 71
2025-11-25 @ Haverford L 64 - 75
2025-12-06 @ York (PA) L 57 - 70
2025-12-13 vs Rosemont W 93 - 52
2025-12-17 vs New Jersey City L 51 - 71
2025-12-20 vs Centenary (NJ) W 108 - 80
2025-12-30 vs Immaculata W 82 - 57
2026-01-07 @ Arcadia W 63 - 61
2026-01-10 vs DeSales L 84 - 88
2026-01-14 @ FDU-Florham L 73 - 81
2026-01-17 vs King's (PA) W 108 - 81
2026-01-21 vs Stevens L 66 - 75
2026-01-24 @ Lebanon Valley L 76 - 79
2026-01-28 @ Misericordia L 57 - 74
2026-01-31 @ DeSales L 69 - 77
2026-02-04 vs FDU-Florham L 90 - 94

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Antonio Redding - 19 36.2 20.0 3.1 2.9 1.1 0.0 2.8 14.3 10.1 11 0.6 1.8 49.1 40.0 85.7 -2.0 61.7 56.8
Mike Herrin - 19 29.6 16.9 5.7 1.7 1.5 0.1 2.6 11.9 11.5 37 1.9 8.7 48.9 23.6 72.5 -0.04 57.5 51.8
Jack Gallagher - 1 34.3 16.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 20.0 5 0.2 1.4 60.0 0.0 66.7 1.98 63.3 60.0
Eli Stoute - 1 24.7 12.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 5 0.2 1.8 44.4 50.0 100.0 0.52 60.7 55.6
Matt Prociak - 1 34.7 11.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 8.0 28 1.3 7.0 27.3 33.3 75.0 2.52 43.1 36.4
Jordan Strickland - 9 17.6 10.2 5.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.8 7.3 8.4 21 2.6 21.6 48.5 28.6 63.4 3.36 54.7 50.0
Arvel Chandler - 1 31.2 10.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 0 0.0 0.0 44.4 20.0 33.3 -0.73 48.4 50.0
Brendon Bradford - 14 16.6 8.5 2.4 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.5 6.4 5.4 15 1.2 32.8 46.1 46.0 72.7 0.37 63.4 62.4
Kamal Johnson - 18 24.3 8.0 2.6 2.0 1.3 0.2 1.6 6.4 6.1 -30 -1.7 -7.1 42.2 29.7 63.6 -0.38 51.4 47.0
Jeremiah Lee - 13 18.2 6.9 3.6 0.7 0.8 0.3 1.1 4.8 6.5 -27 -2.1 -7.8 61.3 28.6 36.4 0.09 62.8 66.1
JT Wright - 19 19.1 6.6 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.9 5.3 2.8 -31 -1.6 -15.8 42.6 35.9 64.7 -2.31 57.6 56.4
Darryl Wright - 1 31.0 5.0 3.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 13.0 -61 -3.0 -16.1 50.0 50.0 0 -0.67 62.5 62.5
Jeremiah Alexander - 6 17.0 3.5 3.3 0.2 0.8 3.8 2.0 3.3 6.3 -13 -2.6 -16.2 45.0 100.0 100.0 -0.61 50.3 47.5
Logan Richards - 1 12.9 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 33.3 - 34.7 33.3
Jake McGinty - 19 30.0 2.9 4.0 2.1 1.7 0.3 1.4 2.8 6.8 30 1.6 5.4 39.6 28.6 71.4 0.28 49.0 47.2
Brian Mordi - 18 16.1 2.9 4.4 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 2.5 5.3 -33 -1.7 -16.8 42.2 33.3 55.6 -2.0 50.1 47.8
Zach Smith - 10 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.7 1.4 1.2 -25 -1.3 -6.3 57.1 42.9 50.0 -2.5 65.6 67.9
Ryan Everett - 14 9.6 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.4 0.8 12 0.9 8.0 26.5 15.0 71.4 1.05 38.6 30.9
Jahan Owusu - 4 2.8 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 -16 -4.0 -322.7 50.0 50.0 100.0 -0.74 67.6 62.5
MarQuel Fitzgerald - 13 3.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 -30 -2.3 -50.5 83.3 100.0 20.0 -1.46 62.5 91.7
Andy Webb - 3 3.2 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 -19 -1.1 -7.6 100.0 0 0 -1.91 100.0 100.0
Caleb Johnson - 9 3.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 -46 -1.7 -85.6 33.3 20.0 0 -1.2 41.7 41.7
Ryan Nasuti - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -29 -1.7 -34.7 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
Timothy Avrine - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
D.J. Orloff - 1 8.8 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -43 -2.3 -23.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.67 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG