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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

2019 Team Stats (5 games)

63.2
PPG
65.8
Opp
-2.6
Margin
34.3%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
65.2%
FT%
42.6
RPG
11.2
APG
15.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.1
Adj PPG
79.8
Adj Opp PPG
#353
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 638 (#348) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 868 (#337) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -24.2 (#353) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -21.4 (#351) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.059 (#350) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -34.8 More โ†’ 0.017 (#353) AdjNet -34.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -35.2 More โ†’ 0.017 (#353) AdjNet -35.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 79.8 More โ†’ 0.113 (#353) AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 79.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 74.3 More โ†’ 0.224 (#351) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 74.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.081 (#352) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.095 (#352) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 29 More โ†’ 595 (#353) RD 138 | GP 29

2019 Schedule & Results

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. McCray-Pace L. McCray-Pace G 1 24.0 17.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 18.0 - - - - 100.0 0 20.0 - 83.3 100.0
Kevin Larkin Kevin Larkin G 26 33.5 16.0 8.8 1.7 1.5 0.2 1.8 3.0 23.6 -59 14 -4.2 -5.5 44.2 35.7 73.7 0.1 244.3 50.6
C. Champion C. Champion G 1 26.0 15.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 19.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Thomas N. Thomas G 2 26.5 14.5 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 20.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Fives J. Fives G 1 21.0 14.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Devonish S. Devonish G 1 32.0 14.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 8.0 - - - - 55.6 0.0 66.7 - 60.1 55.6
A. Kostecka A. Kostecka G 1 23.0 13.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Jamerson Jr. D. Jamerson Jr. G 2 26.5 10.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 15.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Saleik Edwards Saleik Edwards G 28 32.4 10.5 3.6 1.4 0.8 0.1 1.9 3.6 10.9 -197 16 -12.3 -16.3 34.0 34.4 58.8 -4.77 136.8 45.0
S. Whitley S. Whitley G 2 24.5 10.0 7.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 0.0 19.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Cameron M. Cameron G 1 34.0 10.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 14.0 - - - - 42.9 100.0 60.0 - 54.3 50.0
J. Wiley J. Wiley G 31 34.5 9.5 3.4 4.4 2.1 0.0 2.5 2.7 14.2 -174 18 -9.7 -12.2 31.3 31.9 50.0 -2.79 167.6 40.4
A. Branch A. Branch F 1 17.0 9.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Streeter T. Streeter G 1 11.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 - - - - 50.0 60.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
K. Scott K. Scott F 1 24.0 9.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 20.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Pitt M. Pitt G 2 22.0 8.5 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ameer Bennett Ameer Bennett F 31 27.9 8.2 4.6 0.5 0.4 0.7 2.0 1.6 10.7 -171 18 -9.5 -15.5 38.8 0.0 60.9 -3.52 214.8 38.8
D'Marco Baucum D'Marco Baucum F 17 25.4 8.2 4.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.4 10.3 -61 10 -6.1 -10.1 36.6 30.0 66.7 -3.06 155.7 40.2
A. Long A. Long F 2 19.0 8.0 5.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 0.0 12.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
I. Hart I. Hart G 1 17.0 8.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonathan Mitchell Jonathan Mitchell G 31 22.0 8.0 5.2 0.9 1.0 0.2 1.8 2.0 11.5 -96 18 -5.3 -9.9 33.3 29.4 65.5 1.27 163.7 37.3
B. Holcombe B. Holcombe F 1 15.0 7.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Fahim Jenneto Fahim Jenneto F 13 20.8 6.5 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.4 1.6 1.8 7.5 -83 6 -13.8 -22.0 37.5 42.9 33.3 -3.16 165.9 50.0
J. Butler J. Butler F 2 26.0 6.0 7.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 0.0 11.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C.J. Kelly C.J. Kelly - 2 10.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Norton S. Norton F 1 14.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Johnson L. Johnson G 1 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Dornik J. Dornik F 1 6.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Little J. Little F 1 9.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Montrell Horsey Montrell Horsey - 13 16.1 3.8 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.7 1.5 4.1 -56 6 -9.3 -22.8 15.8 20.0 0.0 -2.14 126.0 18.4
Ronald Lucas Ronald Lucas - 31 12.8 3.0 2.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.9 4.4 -53 17 -3.1 -11.8 51.9 20.0 100.0 -2.87 166.8 53.7
B. Bradsher B. Bradsher G 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Chavis K. Chavis F 2 14.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Syfax Jr. D. Syfax Jr. F 1 14.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Myles Carter Myles Carter G 28 8.1 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.7 -37 17 -2.2 -13.7 33.3 33.3 100.0 -3.2 171.6 36.7
C. Ochiaka C. Ochiaka - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Fitzgerald B. Fitzgerald G 2 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Justin Ryder Justin Ryder G 30 7.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.7 -103 17 -6.1 -30.3 12.5 16.7 50.0 -5.58 135.1 18.8
Jordan Bushrod Jordan Bushrod G 17 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 5 9 0.6 12.5 0.0 0 50.0 0.53 26.6 0.0
A. Gillespie A. Gillespie G 1 19.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 -9.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
K. Rawls K. Rawls G 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -4.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
E. Norton E. Norton G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
V. Curry V. Curry F 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG