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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

61.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
-11.0
Margin
40.6%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
33.7
RPG
13.3
APG
17.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.8
Adj PPG
79.6
Adj Opp PPG
#351
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 499 (#350) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 562 (#351) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 837 (#344) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -22.2 (#351) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -20.8 (#349) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.077 (#347) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -31.2 More โ†’ 0.026 (#350) AdjNet -31.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -31.3 More โ†’ 0.026 (#350) AdjNet -31.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 79.6 More โ†’ 0.130 (#351) AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 79.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 74.9 More โ†’ 0.236 (#347) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 74.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.088 (#350) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.100 (#350) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 30 More โ†’ 554 (#350) RD 148 | GP 30

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Cairn University Highlanders W 71 - 50
2017-11-13 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 57 - 81
2017-11-15 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 71 - 85
2017-11-16 @ UIC Flames L 55 - 95
2017-11-20 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 57 - 81
2017-11-25 vs Georgian Court Lions W 68 - 55
2017-11-27 @ Troy Trojans L 64 - 95
2017-11-29 vs Binghamton Bearcats L 64 - 85
2017-12-02 @ East Carolina Pirates L 57 - 63
2017-12-06 vs UMBC Retrievers L 60 - 81
2017-12-09 @ Duquesne Dukes L 48 - 97
2017-12-17 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 59 - 68
2017-12-19 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 68 - 74
2017-12-22 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 68 - 85
2017-12-27 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 52 - 105
2018-01-03 vs North Carolina Central Eagles L 62 - 65
2018-01-06 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs L 60 - 63
2018-01-08 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies L 66 - 76
2018-01-12 @ Hampton Pirates L 56 - 78
2018-01-15 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 89 - 94
2018-01-20 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 78 - 85
2018-01-22 @ Morgan State Bears L 47 - 61
2018-01-27 vs Savannah State Tigers L 86 - 106
2018-02-03 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 61 - 72
2018-02-05 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 51 - 54
2018-02-12 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 58 - 93
2018-02-17 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 63 - 66
2018-02-19 vs Coppin State Eagles W 69 - 51
2018-02-24 @ Howard Bison L 74 - 93
2018-02-26 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 47 - 59
2018-03-01 vs Morgan State Bears W 87 - 80
2018-03-05 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 61 - 62

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kobe Gantz Kobe Gantz G 6 30.5 13.5 5.2 3.3 2.7 0.0 2.5 0.0 22.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Simon Okolue Simon Okolue F 25 27.3 11.9 7.4 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.2 17.3 -127 16 -7.9 -13.2 72.2 0 68.8 -0.9 243.3 72.2
Artem Tavakalyan Artem Tavakalyan F 29 28.1 10.9 5.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 1.8 2.3 15.2 -171 19 -9.0 -15.0 47.1 53.3 66.7 -1.35 203.9 58.8
Marquise Collins Marquise Collins F 25 19.5 9.6 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.5 2.2 9.8 -58 16 -3.6 -9.3 32.7 19.0 82.4 -0.35 191.3 36.4
J. Wiley J. Wiley G 29 35.9 8.5 1.9 2.9 1.5 0.0 2.6 2.3 10.0 -246 19 -12.9 -16.6 28.8 30.8 81.2 -4.17 169.1 34.8
Johnathan Walker Johnathan Walker G 24 25.8 7.9 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.1 2.0 2.1 9.4 -161 17 -9.5 -17.7 44.0 35.3 76.2 -3.44 160.4 50.0
Kavon Waller Kavon Waller F 22 28.6 7.1 3.7 1.8 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.4 9.2 -217 16 -13.6 -20.6 30.2 23.3 50.0 -3.9 140.2 36.8
Jonathan Mitchell Jonathan Mitchell G 9 17.3 6.9 2.2 2.1 0.7 0.3 1.3 1.0 9.9 -2 5 -0.4 -1.2 55.6 0.0 72.7 1.0 224.0 55.6
Joseph Lewis Joseph Lewis C 24 16.3 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.4 1.9 1.9 4.6 -131 15 -8.7 -21.4 33.3 0.0 45.5 -4.02 102.3 33.3
Ameer Bennett Ameer Bennett F 26 10.9 2.9 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.2 0.3 3.9 -54 15 -3.6 -13.7 75.0 0 42.9 -2.31 338.4 75.0
Daivon Gamble Daivon Gamble - 8 8.9 2.8 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.0 4.6 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Saleik Edwards Saleik Edwards G 23 8.4 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.6 -51 14 -3.6 -20.2 36.4 20.0 75.0 -3.62 199.8 40.9
Reginald Giles Reginald Giles - 2 7.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Demola Onifade Demola Onifade C 25 11.6 0.8 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 2.7 -75 17 -4.4 -19.4 33.3 0 0 -1.94 116.7 33.3
Myles Carter Myles Carter G 9 3.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.4 -0.3 -17 7 -2.4 -23.8 25.0 0 100.0 -1.96 61.5 25.0
Matthew Stevenson Matthew Stevenson G 7 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 2 5 0.4 8.1 100.0 100.0 0 -0.7 150.0 150.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG