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Delaware State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Keith Walker

2016 Team Stats (3 games)

61.0
PPG
79.7
Opp
-18.7
Margin
37.9%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
27.3
RPG
9.7
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.4
Adj PPG
75.3
Adj Opp PPG
#349
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 638 (#343) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 674 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 885 (#317) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -19.0 (#349) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -17.9 (#348) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.082 (#348) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -28.7 More → 0.035 (#349) AdjNet -28.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -29.1 More → 0.033 (#350) AdjNet -29.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.164 (#349) AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 75.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.258 (#346) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 73.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.121 (#348) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.133 (#348) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 30 More → 687 (#342) RD 144 | GP 30

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 56 - 62
2015-11-17 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 54 - 60
2015-11-19 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 60 - 75
2015-11-21 vs Lamar Cardinals L 66 - 77
2015-11-24 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 55 - 81
2015-11-27 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 59 - 80
2015-11-29 @ San Francisco Dons L 47 - 67
2015-12-04 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 38 - 82
2015-12-12 @ Michigan Wolverines L 33 - 80
2015-12-15 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 59 - 88
2015-12-19 @ Temple Owls L 63 - 78
2015-12-22 @ Utah Utes L 58 - 105
2015-12-28 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 47 - 75
2016-01-04 vs Clarks Summit Defenders W 93 - 44
2016-01-09 @ Morgan State Bears L 58 - 63
2016-01-11 vs Howard Bison L 67 - 71
2016-01-16 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs L 79 - 90
2016-01-18 @ Savannah State Tigers L 47 - 64
2016-01-23 vs North Carolina Central Eagles - Postponed
2016-01-25 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 57 - 55
2016-01-27 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 71 - 60
2016-01-30 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs L 41 - 56
2016-02-01 vs Cheyney (PA) Wolves W 86 - 70
2016-02-06 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 56 - 85
2016-02-08 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 95 - 96
2016-02-13 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 75 - 71
2016-02-15 @ Coppin State Eagles W 71 - 67
2016-02-20 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 67 - 64
2016-02-22 vs Hampton Pirates L 72 - 82
2016-02-27 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 65 - 74
2016-02-29 @ Hampton Pirates L 65 - 79
2016-03-03 vs Coppin State Eagles L 62 - 72
2016-03-07 @ Savannah State Tigers L 58 - 63

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Devin Morgan Devin Morgan G 28 30.9 12.4 3.1 2.7 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.9 14.3 -38 15 -2.5 -4.7 26.8 28.0 60.0 -2.02 196.4 35.4
DeAndre Haywood DeAndre Haywood G 26 26.3 11.7 3.2 2.5 1.2 0.1 2.3 2.5 13.9 -3 15 -0.2 -0.4 41.5 33.3 55.6 3.43 188.0 45.4
Kavon Waller Kavon Waller F 25 19.5 5.9 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.5 1.7 6.7 -44 13 -3.4 -8.5 42.9 35.0 53.8 -2.12 154.0 51.2
Dana Raysor Dana Raysor G 27 19.6 5.8 2.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.9 6.4 -43 15 -2.9 -6.9 32.0 33.3 77.8 -1.0 145.5 44.0
Todd Hughes Todd Hughes G 25 16.1 5.0 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 1.2 2.3 5.4 -56 14 -4.0 -13.2 38.6 28.6 73.3 -1.71 98.3 40.4
Aric Dickerson Aric Dickerson G 23 13.5 4.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.3 4.0 -29 13 -2.2 -12.3 48.3 50.0 50.0 -3.01 174.0 69.0
Scott Sill Scott Sill F 13 17.5 4.5 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.5 5.8 -11 8 -1.4 -4.5 40.0 33.3 0.0 -0.73 144.3 50.0
Joseph Lewis Joseph Lewis C 25 13.0 4.1 2.9 0.7 0.6 0.3 1.1 1.2 6.4 -18 14 -1.3 -4.9 37.9 50.0 63.6 -1.7 152.2 43.1
DeVaughn Mallory DeVaughn Mallory F 27 13.3 3.5 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 4.3 -57 14 -4.1 -13.2 48.6 20.0 50.0 -1.37 117.2 50.0
Artem Tavakalyan Artem Tavakalyan F 25 11.6 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.6 3.8 -48 15 -3.2 -15.4 40.0 10.0 77.8 -3.38 91.0 41.2
Malik Carter Malik Carter - 8 11.0 2.8 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.5 3.2 - - - - 25.0 20.0 0.0 - 85.4 29.2
Mrdjan Gasevic Mrdjan Gasevic F 24 9.6 2.6 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 4.2 - - - - 36.4 0 71.4 - 123.6 36.4
Jason Owens Jason Owens F 19 10.8 2.3 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 3.6 -27 10 -2.7 -10.7 42.1 100.0 55.6 -0.67 95.8 44.7
Mahir Johnson Mahir Johnson G 7 7.7 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.9 0.6 - - - - 38.5 0.0 66.7 -3.19 48.9 38.5
Cahli Thomas Cahli Thomas G 21 10.2 1.5 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.3 2.5 -56 11 -5.1 -29.1 14.3 0.0 100.0 -5.55 196.7 14.3
Demola Onifade Demola Onifade C 24 15.5 1.3 3.2 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.5 4.8 -85 15 -5.7 -15.7 0.0 0 0 -6.4 140.9 0.0
Jamelle Christian Jamelle Christian G 2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG