๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

2015 Team Stats (5 games)

66.4
PPG
66.6
Opp
-0.2
Margin
43.6%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
67.0%
FT%
32.8
RPG
10.0
APG
10.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
73.0
Adj Opp PPG
#296
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 865 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 953 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 1019 (#139) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -8.3 (#296) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -6.8 (#281) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.342 (#252) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.3 More โ†’ 0.177 (#298) AdjNet -13.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.6 More โ†’ 0.172 (#298) AdjNet -13.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 73.0 More โ†’ 0.333 (#296) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 73.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.424 (#257) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.330 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.348 (#265) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 34 More โ†’ 901 (#250) RD 111 | GP 34

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 77 - 75
2014-11-17 vs Mission Patriots W 104 - 63
2014-11-19 @ North Texas Mean Green L 55 - 62
2014-11-21 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 71 - 99
2014-11-26 @ Iona Gaels L 76 - 126
2014-11-28 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 72 - 65
2014-12-02 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 60 - 75
2014-12-07 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 66 - 53
2014-12-10 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 55 - 70
2014-12-13 @ Rhode Island Rams L 44 - 83
2014-12-17 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 72 - 64
2014-12-20 @ Oregon Ducks L 70 - 83
2014-12-28 @ Temple Owls L 56 - 66
2015-01-05 vs Cheyney (PA) Wolves W 90 - 68
2015-01-10 vs Morgan State Bears L 69 - 73
2015-01-12 @ Howard Bison W 79 - 76
2015-01-17 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 60 - 49
2015-01-19 vs Savannah State Tigers W 59 - 50
2015-01-24 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 67 - 52
2015-01-26 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 54 - 55
2015-01-31 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs L 74 - 78
2015-02-03 @ NJIT Highlanders L 51 - 69
2015-02-07 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 70 - 75
2015-02-09 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 90 - 74
2015-02-14 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 91 - 85
2015-02-16 vs Coppin State Eagles L 92 - 96
2015-02-21 @ Hampton Pirates W 74 - 71
2015-02-23 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 71 - 81
2015-02-28 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 65 - 69
2015-03-02 vs Hampton Pirates W 85 - 75
2015-03-05 @ Coppin State Eagles W 104 - 92
2015-03-09 vs Savannah State Tigers W 64 - 58
2015-03-12 @ Howard Bison W 65 - 60
2015-03-13 @ North Carolina Central Eagles W 63 - 57
2015-03-14 vs Hampton Pirates L 61 - 82
2015-03-18 vs Radford Highlanders L 57 - 78

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Amere May Amere May G 28 34.2 20.2 4.0 2.5 0.9 0.2 2.9 6.2 18.8 -19 21 -0.9 -1.4 37.9 29.6 80.8 0.23 143.5 44.0
Tyshawn Bell Tyshawn Bell F 31 29.9 11.4 5.6 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.9 3.2 14.9 3 24 0.1 0.2 41.8 31.7 81.8 3.12 171.1 51.5
Kendall Gray Kendall Gray C 30 34.0 10.8 11.2 1.0 0.5 3.0 2.1 2.3 22.2 -82 22 -3.7 -5.0 54.4 0 62.8 -4.34 186.4 54.4
Kendal Williams Kendal Williams G 29 24.2 8.1 2.5 2.9 0.3 0.0 1.4 2.0 10.5 -19 21 -0.9 -1.7 36.8 39.1 68.8 0.2 184.3 44.7
DeAndre Haywood DeAndre Haywood G 30 19.7 6.4 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.9 1.5 7.5 -62 22 -2.8 -6.3 32.6 28.6 72.0 -1.86 169.3 37.0
Larry Haley Larry Haley G 3 9.3 6.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.3 - - - - 60.0 50.0 100.0 - 87.3 75.0
Todd Hughes Todd Hughes G 22 15.3 5.8 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 2.9 5.5 -57 15 -3.8 -13.6 54.0 57.1 63.2 -2.86 89.7 60.3
Kavon Waller Kavon Waller F 31 12.8 3.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.1 3.8 1 23 0.0 0.2 61.8 45.5 85.7 -1.03 142.9 69.1
Aric Dickerson Aric Dickerson G 27 11.2 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.9 1.0 1.8 -68 18 -3.8 -15.0 38.5 31.6 0.0 -3.07 119.0 50.0
Mrdjan Gasevic Mrdjan Gasevic F 21 8.7 2.2 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 3.1 - - - - 56.0 0 60.0 - 79.9 56.0
Charles Burley Charles Burley G 28 18.2 2.0 2.4 2.9 0.7 0.0 1.9 0.8 5.3 -29 21 -1.4 -4.3 17.4 20.0 73.3 -1.01 94.6 21.7
Artem Tavakalyan Artem Tavakalyan F 10 5.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Quincy Tillinghast Quincy Tillinghast G 6 5.2 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 1.7 - - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 100.0 62.5
Jason Owens Jason Owens F 13 5.6 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 -34 11 -3.1 -20.4 66.7 0.0 0 -2.52 133.3 66.7
Scott Sill Scott Sill F 20 5.5 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.8 -24 18 -1.3 -11.0 33.3 25.0 33.3 -2.69 106.6 38.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG