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Delaware State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Greg Jackson

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 839 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 928 (#221) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1017 (#150) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -6.1 (#260) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -4.6 (#242) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.434 (#193) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.6 More → 0.248 (#263) AdjNet -9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.8 More → 0.244 (#264) AdjNet -9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.377 (#256) AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.465 (#204) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.366 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.383 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 25 More → 910 (#231) RD 139 | GP 25

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Wilmington (DE) Wildcats W 86 - 65
2011-11-14 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 52 - 70
2011-11-18 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 69 - 93
2011-11-23 vs Philadelphia Biblical Highlanders W 104 - 41
2011-11-26 @ Wagner Seahawks L 62 - 85
2011-11-29 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 57 - 43
2011-12-03 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 78 - 68
2011-12-06 @ Howard Bison L 65 - 72
2011-12-10 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 42 - 58
2011-12-17 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 55 - 59
2011-12-30 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 51 - 58
2011-12-31 @ George Washington Colonials L 59 - 77
2012-01-04 @ NC State Wolfpack L 44 - 78
2012-01-14 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks L 60 - 63
2012-01-23 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 65 - 51
2012-01-28 @ North Carolina Central Eagles W 76 - 70
2012-01-30 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 56 - 41
2012-02-04 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 67 - 50
2012-02-06 vs Hampton Pirates W 77 - 69
2012-02-13 @ Morgan State Bears W 74 - 73
2012-02-15 @ Norfolk State Spartans W 73 - 63
2012-02-18 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 56 - 57
2012-02-20 @ Hampton Pirates W 74 - 68
2012-02-25 vs Howard Bison W 63 - 46
2012-02-27 vs Morgan State Bears L 72 - 73
2012-03-01 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 82 - 71
2012-03-08 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 55 - 65

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tahj Tate Tahj Tate - 22 35.0 16.0 2.5 2.6 1.3 0.1 2.3 5.4 14.8 - - - - 39.0 35.5 69.2 - 135.6 43.6
Casey Walker Casey Walker G 27 37.5 13.1 3.8 0.9 1.0 0.5 1.0 2.6 15.6 -35 17 -2.1 -2.4 35.2 29.5 77.8 -0.98 235.5 44.4
Marques Oliver Marques Oliver F 27 30.8 11.0 7.3 1.1 1.1 2.4 2.0 2.0 18.9 21 17 1.2 1.7 51.9 0.0 57.7 3.1 226.2 51.9
Jay Threatt Jay Threatt G 24 36.2 9.1 3.8 5.8 3.0 0.1 1.9 1.8 18.2 -8 15 -0.5 -0.6 29.5 17.6 80.0 -1.34 216.4 33.0
Tyshawn Bell Tyshawn Bell F 27 20.4 7.4 2.9 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 1.5 9.9 -65 17 -3.8 -8.7 45.0 46.2 100.0 -3.75 243.4 60.0
Kendall Gray Kendall Gray C 16 25.8 6.8 4.9 0.4 0.5 3.4 1.2 1.3 13.5 -34 8 -4.2 -6.3 42.9 0.0 66.7 -0.44 218.3 42.9
Amere May Amere May G 26 16.7 5.8 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.0 1.1 6.2 -22 16 -1.4 -3.9 32.1 33.3 45.5 0.89 229.9 37.5
Lewis Lott Lewis Lott - 2 9.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
James Marcellus James Marcellus F 16 12.6 2.6 2.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.2 5.6 -16 12 -1.3 -4.7 33.3 0 75.0 -4.03 430.7 33.3
Everett Christian Everett Christian - 1 12.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Lawson Jordan Lawson G 17 6.2 1.1 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.6 -18 11 -1.6 -13.4 0.0 0 0 -1.97 237.5 0.0
Brandon Oliver Brandon Oliver G 15 8.0 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.1 2.0 -21 10 -2.1 -12.8 0.0 0 0 -1.91 700.0 0.0
Jabari Joyner Jabari Joyner G 12 8.2 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0
Abdulwali Kasim Abdulwali Kasim - 12 5.0 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 250.0 0.0
B. Scott B. Scott - 1 12.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Michael Coger Michael Coger - 3 4.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG