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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

1995-1996
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 712 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 813 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More → 968 (#189) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More → -21.6 (#302) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More → -18.9 (#297) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.142 (#284) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.3 More → 0.041 (#299) AdjNet -27.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.8 More → 0.039 (#299) AdjNet -27.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 83.4 More → 0.143 (#302) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 83.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 78.2 More → 0.275 (#289) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 78.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.156 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.179 (#289) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 27 More → 807 (#258) RD 154 | GP 27

1996 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1995-11-25 @ George Mason L 73 - 139
1995-11-27 vs St. Francis Brooklyn L 68 - 73
1995-11-29 @ James Madison L 64 - 88
1995-12-02 @ Central Connecticut State L 77 - 98
1995-12-04 vs Wagner W 64 - 59
1995-12-06 vs Saint Francis (PA) L 64 - 82
1995-12-16 @ Xavier L 57 - 87
1995-12-21 @ Nebraska L 41 - 88
1996-01-03 vs Maryland–Eastern Shore L 66 - 72
1996-01-06 vs Bethune-Cookman W 92 - 83
1996-01-08 vs Florida A&M W 79 - 68
1996-01-13 vs Coppin State L 77 - 92
1996-01-15 vs Howard W 73 - 71
1996-01-17 @ Maryland L 55 - 118
1996-01-20 @ North Carolina A&T L 66 - 68
1996-01-22 @ South Carolina State L 71 - 87
1996-01-31 @ Morgan State W 75 - 66
1996-02-03 vs North Carolina A&T W 87 - 78
1996-02-05 vs South Carolina State L 67 - 99
1996-02-07 vs Morgan State W 75 - 68
1996-02-10 N Maryland–Eastern Shore L 67 - 70
1996-02-12 @ Howard W 65 - 63
1996-02-15 @ Coppin State L 77 - 90
1996-02-17 @ Bethune-Cookman W 83 - 78
1996-02-19 @ Florida A&M L 80 - 86
1996-02-29 N Maryland–Eastern Shore W 59 - 56
1996-03-01 N Coppin State L 64 - 78

1996 Roster

No roster data available for this season.