🐻⬇️🏀

Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 659 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 745 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More → 890 (#264) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More → -16.5 (#287) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -16.1 (#288) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.148 (#280) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.4 More → 0.063 (#289) AdjNet -23.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.7 More → 0.061 (#289) AdjNet -23.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.195 (#287) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 80.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.274 (#286) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 79.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.159 (#287) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.171 (#286) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 25 More → 688 (#285) RD 139 | GP 25

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-11-26 @ Saint Joseph's L 60 - 90
1993-11-27 N San Francisco L 75 - 123
1993-12-04 @ Delaware L 72 - 73
1993-12-07 @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 85 - 80
1993-12-11 @ Arkansas L 66 - 123
1993-12-28 N Alabama L 44 - 82
1993-12-29 N Penn State L 53 - 64
1994-01-08 vs Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 80
1994-01-10 vs Florida A&M W 75 - 57
1994-01-15 vs Howard W 67 - 66
1994-01-17 vs Morgan State L 63 - 74
1994-01-22 @ North Carolina A&T L 66 - 69
1994-01-24 @ South Carolina State L 63 - 68
1994-02-02 @ Coppin State L 56 - 70
1994-02-05 vs North Carolina A&T L 64 - 73
1994-02-07 vs South Carolina State L 57 - 73
1994-02-12 vs Maryland–Eastern Shore L 63 - 66
1994-02-14 @ Morgan State W 86 - 83
1994-02-19 @ Bethune-Cookman L 68 - 71
1994-02-21 @ Florida A&M W 92 - 87
1994-02-24 @ Howard W 91 - 85
1994-02-26 @ Central Connecticut State L 81 - 85
1994-03-03 @ Maryland–Eastern Shore L 66 - 81
1994-03-05 vs Coppin State L 62 - 93
1994-03-09 N Maryland–Eastern Shore L 76 - 91

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.