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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

1991-1992
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 771 (#252) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 842 (#233) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 947 (#209) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More → -17.3 (#286) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → -16.9 (#285) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.287 (#231) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.1 More → 0.058 (#287) AdjNet -24.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.7 More → 0.061 (#286) AdjNet -23.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 85.1 More → 0.188 (#285) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 85.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 79.1 More → 0.316 (#261) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 79.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.174 (#280) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.195 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 26 More → 791 (#259) RD 159 | GP 26

1992 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1991-11-25 vs Mount St. Mary's W 81 - 78
1991-11-30 @ Wichita State L 68 - 78
1991-12-05 @ Delaware W 99 - 95
1991-12-07 @ Kansas State L 54 - 115
1991-12-09 @ Georgetown L 76 - 93
1991-12-20 N Eastern Washington L 68 - 102
1991-12-21 N Texas A&M L 67 - 69
1991-12-27 @ New Mexico State L 73 - 109
1992-01-04 vs Bethune-Cookman W 84 - 78
1992-01-06 vs Florida A&M W 83 - 80
1992-01-11 vs Howard W 96 - 95
1992-01-13 vs Morgan State W 99 - 81
1992-01-18 @ North Carolina A&T L 73 - 81
1992-01-20 @ South Carolina State W 62 - 58
1992-01-25 @ Buffalo L 58 - 71
1992-01-28 @ Coppin State L 56 - 79
1992-02-01 vs North Carolina A&T W 77 - 71
1992-02-03 vs South Carolina State L 59 - 74
1992-02-05 vs Coppin State W 96 - 93
1992-02-08 @ Maryland–Eastern Shore W 73 - 57
1992-02-10 @ Morgan State L 78 - 80
1992-02-15 @ Bethune-Cookman L 98 - 102
1992-02-17 @ Florida A&M L 81 - 90
1992-02-25 vs Maryland–Eastern Shore W 90 - 65
1992-02-27 @ Howard L 65 - 79
1992-03-05 N Florida A&M L 73 - 78

1992 Roster

No roster data available for this season.