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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

1989-1990
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 894 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 930 (#186) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +128 elo More → 998 (#146) HCA +128 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More → -9.6 (#239) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.0 More → -11.0 (#250) HCA +4.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.456 (#155) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.7 More → 0.188 (#235) AdjNet -12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.185 (#235) AdjNet -12.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 85.6 More → 0.326 (#232) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 85.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 85.1 More → 0.412 (#210) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 85.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.309 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.325 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 28 More → 885 (#207) RD 154 | GP 28

1990 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1989-11-25 @ Maryland L 53 - 87
1989-11-27 vs Central Connecticut State W 66 - 58
1989-11-28 @ Mount St. Mary's L 86 - 99
1989-12-01 vs Brooklyn W 80 - 51
1989-12-04 @ New Mexico State L 90 - 104
1989-12-06 @ UTEP L 63 - 98
1989-12-29 N Brown W 81 - 76
1989-12-31 @ Arkansas L 75 - 117
1990-01-04 vs Saint Francis (PA) W 100 - 79
1990-01-06 vs Bethune-Cookman W 80 - 67
1990-01-08 vs Florida A&M L 73 - 77
1990-01-13 vs Howard W 84 - 73
1990-01-15 vs Morgan State W 98 - 84
1990-01-20 @ North Carolina A&T L 71 - 74
1990-01-22 @ South Carolina State L 82 - 92
1990-01-30 @ Coppin State L 77 - 79
1990-02-01 @ Howard L 74 - 75
1990-02-03 vs North Carolina A&T W 93 - 85
1990-02-05 vs South Carolina State W 89 - 88
1990-02-07 vs Coppin State W 72 - 68
1990-02-10 @ Maryland–Eastern Shore W 80 - 75
1990-02-12 @ Morgan State W 111 - 95
1990-02-14 @ Brooklyn W 107 - 98
1990-02-17 @ Bethune-Cookman L 105 - 112
1990-02-19 @ Florida A&M L 87 - 91
1990-02-22 vs Maryland–Eastern Shore W 111 - 100
1990-02-24 @ Central Connecticut State L 83 - 84
1990-03-01 @ North Carolina A&T L 75 - 96

1990 Roster

No roster data available for this season.