DeSales
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1009 (#372) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1061 (#148) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.1 (#216) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.4 (#499) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.717 (#341) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.526 (#345) | AdjNet +0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.516 (#344) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.510 (#344) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.453 (#504) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 72.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.416 (#468) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.431 (#461) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1062 (#264) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Davidson | L | 63 - 97 |
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Neumann | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Scranton | L | 50 - 63 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Hunter | W | 68 - 44 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | TCNJ | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Muhlenberg | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Moravian | W | 95 - 89 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 79 - 94 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Widener | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Cairn | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2025-12-28 | vs | Baruch | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 92 - 79 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | FDU-Florham | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Delaware Valley | W | 88 - 84 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Lebanon Valley | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Stevens | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Arcadia | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Misericordia | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | King's (PA) | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Lebanon Valley | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | FDU-Florham | W | 80 - 61 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Thomas | - | 22 | 37.1 | 23.7 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.4 | 15.8 | 17.3 | 39 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 45.2 | 26.7 | 78.7 | 1.15 | 58.2 | 49.1 |
| Luke Keppel | - | 22 | 31.5 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.4 | 7.4 | 65 | 3.2 | 12.8 | 38.8 | 34.9 | 80.9 | 1.99 | 54.9 | 49.5 |
| Brendan Boyle | - | 12 | 20.3 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.2 | 5.5 | -13 | -1.3 | -16.1 | 36.0 | 36.6 | 83.9 | 0.12 | 57.2 | 51.2 |
| Emanuel Domingo | - | 22 | 18.4 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 67 | 3.4 | 20.9 | 55.4 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 0.65 | 59.5 | 58.4 |
| Ryan Glassmacher | - | 22 | 17.5 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 50.0 | 42.5 | 59.3 | 0.12 | 61.0 | 60.1 |
| Riley Buzby | - | 22 | 15.0 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 40.2 | 37.3 | 100.0 | -2.13 | 57.8 | 53.8 |
| Ty Mishock | - | 7 | 19.0 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 4.6 | -7 | -1.4 | -13.4 | 48.1 | 12.5 | 83.3 | -1.17 | 54.0 | 50.0 |
| Robbie Ruisch | - | 14 | 15.9 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 4 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 34.0 | 23.5 | 78.3 | -0.69 | 49.1 | 41.5 |
| Chris Edwards | - | 22 | 16.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 8 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 42.2 | 29.4 | 60.9 | 0.45 | 49.2 | 46.1 |
| Will Meeker | - | 22 | 12.4 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 40.6 | 25.7 | 92.3 | 0.19 | 52.4 | 47.7 |
| Theo Gladue | - | 19 | 17.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 56 | 3.3 | 27.1 | 38.9 | 45.8 | 66.7 | 1.11 | 50.3 | 49.1 |
| LJ Vaughan | - | 3 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Sam Kahn | - | 19 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | -36 | -2.1 | -78.0 | 56.0 | 0 | 20.0 | -0.1 | 53.3 | 56.0 |
| Chukwudi Mamah | - | 7 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.09 | 15.4 | 12.5 |
| Aidan Leo | - | 4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2 | 1.0 | 150.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zach Rodgers | - | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Dom Bojko | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG