🐻⬇️🏀

DeSales

Also known as: DeSales
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1026 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1009 (#372) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1061 (#148) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -7.1 (#216) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.4 (#499) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.717 (#341) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.9 More → 0.526 (#345) AdjNet +0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.516 (#344) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.510 (#344) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.453 (#504) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.416 (#468) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.431 (#461) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 22 More → 1062 (#264) RD 99 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Davidson L 63 - 97
2025-11-07 vs Neumann W 74 - 67
2025-11-08 @ Scranton L 50 - 63
2025-11-15 vs Hunter W 68 - 44
2025-11-19 vs TCNJ L 62 - 65
2025-11-22 @ Muhlenberg L 59 - 62
2025-11-24 @ Moravian W 95 - 89
2025-12-03 @ Lancaster Bible L 79 - 94
2025-12-06 vs Widener W 75 - 70
2025-12-15 vs Cairn L 72 - 84
2025-12-28 vs Baruch L 66 - 67
2025-12-29 vs Gwynedd Mercy W 92 - 79
2026-01-07 vs FDU-Florham W 70 - 65
2026-01-10 @ Delaware Valley W 88 - 84
2026-01-14 vs Lebanon Valley W 76 - 68
2026-01-17 @ Stevens L 68 - 78
2026-01-21 @ Arcadia L 73 - 83
2026-01-24 vs Misericordia W 67 - 63
2026-01-28 vs King's (PA) W 75 - 66
2026-01-31 vs Delaware Valley W 77 - 69
2026-02-04 @ Lebanon Valley W 76 - 73
2026-02-07 @ FDU-Florham W 80 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jayden Thomas - 22 37.1 23.7 6.9 5.3 1.5 0.0 4.4 15.8 17.3 39 1.9 6.8 45.2 26.7 78.7 1.15 58.2 49.1
Luke Keppel - 22 31.5 11.8 4.0 1.9 1.0 0.1 2.0 9.4 7.4 65 3.2 12.8 38.8 34.9 80.9 1.99 54.9 49.5
Brendan Boyle - 12 20.3 9.5 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 1.7 7.2 5.5 -13 -1.3 -16.1 36.0 36.6 83.9 0.12 57.2 51.2
Emanuel Domingo - 22 18.4 6.2 3.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 4.6 6.0 67 3.4 20.9 55.4 25.0 60.0 0.65 59.5 58.4
Ryan Glassmacher - 22 17.5 5.3 3.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.2 3.8 5.7 5 0.2 2.3 50.0 42.5 59.3 0.12 61.0 60.1
Riley Buzby - 22 15.0 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.0 4.2 4.4 6 0.3 2.3 40.2 37.3 100.0 -2.13 57.8 53.8
Ty Mishock - 7 19.0 4.6 3.3 1.6 0.9 0.0 1.9 3.9 4.6 -7 -1.4 -13.4 48.1 12.5 83.3 -1.17 54.0 50.0
Robbie Ruisch - 14 15.9 4.4 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 3.8 3.6 4 0.3 2.9 34.0 23.5 78.3 -0.69 49.1 41.5
Chris Edwards - 22 16.1 3.3 3.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 2.9 4.6 8 0.4 3.4 42.2 29.4 60.9 0.45 49.2 46.1
Will Meeker - 22 12.4 3.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.9 2.3 2 0.1 0.9 40.6 25.7 92.3 0.19 52.4 47.7
Theo Gladue - 19 17.6 3.0 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.0 56 3.3 27.1 38.9 45.8 66.7 1.11 50.3 49.1
LJ Vaughan - 3 2.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.7 - - - 57.1 25.0 0 - 64.3 64.3
Sam Kahn - 19 9.9 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 -36 -2.1 -78.0 56.0 0 20.0 -0.1 53.3 56.0
Chukwudi Mamah - 7 3.5 0.4 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.7 0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0 25.0 -1.09 15.4 12.5
Aidan Leo - 4 1.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 2 1.0 150.0 0.0 0 0 -0.02 0.0 0.0
Zach Rodgers - 1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
Dom Bojko - 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG