Davidson
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1004 (#150) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 987 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1000 (#154) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.0 (#170) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.5 (#166) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.498 (#161) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.452 (#168) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.451 (#168) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.483 (#167) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.525 (#135) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.470 (#166) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.479 (#160) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 953 (#183) | RD 154 | GP 25 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-16 | @ | Siena | L | 79 - 89 |
| 1999-12-01 | @ | Charlotte | L | 55 - 74 |
| 1999-12-08 | @ | Elon | L | 70 - 75 |
| 1999-12-21 | @ | Duke | L | 65 - 109 |
| 1999-12-29 | N | Columbia | W | 50 - 47 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Stanford | L | 61 - 87 |
| 2000-01-02 | @ | California | L | 87 - 95 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 60 - 63 |
| 2000-01-10 | @ | Furman | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | College of Charleston | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2000-01-18 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2000-01-20 | vs | Wofford | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | VMI | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2000-01-25 | @ | East Tennessee State | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | UNC Greensboro | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2000-01-31 | vs | Appalachian State | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2000-02-02 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 54 - 49 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | The Citadel | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2000-02-08 | vs | East Tennessee State | W | 87 - 60 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Western Carolina | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2000-02-14 | vs | Chattanooga | W | 104 - 78 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Appalachian State | W | 69 - 54 |
| 2000-02-21 | @ | VMI | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Georgia Southern | L | 87 - 88 |
| 2000-03-03 | N | Wofford | L | 64 - 65 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.