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Davidson

Also known as: Davidson Wildcats, Davidson
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1004 (#150) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 987 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 1000 (#154) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -1.0 (#170) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -0.5 (#166) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.498 (#161) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.7 More โ†’ 0.452 (#168) AdjNet -1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More โ†’ 0.451 (#168) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.483 (#167) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 69.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.525 (#135) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.470 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.479 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 25 More โ†’ 953 (#183) RD 154 | GP 25

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-16 @ Siena L 79 - 89
1999-12-01 @ Charlotte L 55 - 74
1999-12-08 @ Elon L 70 - 75
1999-12-21 @ Duke L 65 - 109
1999-12-29 N Columbia W 50 - 47
1999-12-30 @ Stanford L 61 - 87
2000-01-02 @ California L 87 - 95
2000-01-08 @ UNC Greensboro L 60 - 63
2000-01-10 @ Furman W 74 - 63
2000-01-15 @ College of Charleston W 71 - 58
2000-01-18 vs Western Carolina W 83 - 78
2000-01-20 vs Wofford W 77 - 62
2000-01-22 vs VMI W 80 - 69
2000-01-25 @ East Tennessee State W 62 - 60
2000-01-29 vs UNC Greensboro L 75 - 77
2000-01-31 vs Appalachian State L 72 - 77
2000-02-02 vs Wake Forest W 54 - 49
2000-02-05 @ The Citadel L 74 - 87
2000-02-08 vs East Tennessee State W 87 - 60
2000-02-12 @ Western Carolina L 72 - 82
2000-02-14 vs Chattanooga W 104 - 78
2000-02-19 vs Appalachian State W 69 - 54
2000-02-21 @ VMI W 71 - 58
2000-02-26 vs Georgia Southern L 87 - 88
2000-03-03 N Wofford L 64 - 65

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.